Mithrandir Metrics
The Mirror live sim Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Heads up The Mirror is being actively tuned right now. Some live figures may lag or look off while we work through a few issues, so treat numbers here as provisional. Full accuracy back shortly.
The Mirror / 2026-09-27 beta

It shows things that were, things that are, and things that yet may be.

The Mirror’s record: every call graded →

Batter-by-batter Monte Carlo: each plate appearance is a real matchup probability, played through a full base-out state machine with starter fatigue and bullpen chains. Validated against 358 completed games before launch.

NYM @ WSH2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
NYM 46.6%WSH 53.4%
Manaea, Sean vs Herz, DJ
mean 4.14–4.23 · total 8.37 · NRFI 50%
CIN @ TOR2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
CIN 47.6%TOR 52.4%
Williamson, Brandon vs Scherzer, Max
mean 4.15–4.11 · total 8.26 · NRFI 53%
LAA @ SEA2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
LAA 36.3%SEA 63.7%
Kikuchi, Yusei vs Gilbert, Logan
mean 3.39–4.51 · total 7.9 · NRFI 56%
LAD @ SF2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
LAD 65.2%SF 34.8%
Dreyer, Jack vs Seymour, Carson
mean 4.54–2.85 · total 7.39 · NRFI 57%
AZ @ SD2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
AZ 58.6%SD 41.4%
Soroka, Michael vs Vásquez, Randy
mean 4.37–3.39 · total 7.75 · NRFI 56%
TB @ PHI2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
TB 46.4%PHI 53.6%
Martinez, Nick vs Wheeler, Zack
mean 4.11–4.08 · total 8.2 · NRFI 53%
TEX @ MIN2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
TEX 47.6%MIN 52.4%
Gore, MacKenzie vs Kremer, Dean
mean 4.23–4.2 · total 8.44 · NRFI 54%
STL @ MIL2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
STL 25.5%MIL 74.5%
Pallante, Andre vs Misiorowski, Jacob
mean 2.27–4.26 · total 6.53 · NRFI 62%
ATL @ MIA2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
ATL 49.6%MIA 50.4%
Ritchie, JR vs Junk, Janson
mean 3.9–3.8 · total 7.71 · NRFI 56%
CLE @ KC2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
CLE 56.7%KC 43.3%
Messick, Parker vs Lynch IV, Daniel
mean 4.21–3.39 · total 7.6 · NRFI 62%
PIT @ DET2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
PIT 45.3%DET 54.7%
Jones, Jared vs Ryan, River
mean 3.75–4.02 · total 7.78 · NRFI 57%
COL @ CWS2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
COL 43.2%CWS 56.8%
Freeland, Kyle vs Kay, Anthony
mean 4.55–5.0 · total 9.55 · NRFI 47%
CHC @ BOS2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
CHC 52.6%BOS 47.4%
Imanaga, Shota vs Pitcher 656557
mean 4.52–4.08 · total 8.6 · NRFI 52%
HOU @ ATH2026-09-27 · 8,000 sims
HOU 61.6%ATH 38.4%
Lambert, Peter vs Johnson, Seth
mean 5.33–4.03 · total 9.36 · NRFI 48%