Heads up
The Mirror is being actively tuned right now. Some live figures may lag or look off while we work through a few issues, so treat numbers here as provisional. Full accuracy back shortly.
The Mirror / 2026-09-27 beta
TEX 4, MIN 6. Final.
The Mirror’s record: every call graded →
Batter-by-batter Monte Carlo: each plate appearance is a real matchup probability, played through a full base-out state machine with starter fatigue and bullpen chains. Validated against 358 completed games before launch.
Final
TEX 4, MIN 6
The final result has replaced the last live pitch state. Published 03:59:52Z UTC · back to slate
4 – 6final score
10total runs
52% → 100%MIN win prob, pregame → final
Pregame baseline
Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins
Gore, MacKenzie vs Kremer, Dean · engine 0.1.13 · back to slate
TEX 47.6%MIN 52.4%
4.23 – 4.2mean score
8.44mean total
54%NRFI
10.1%extra innings
5.38 / 6.34starter K means
Run distributions
Total runs across 8,000 sims
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Hover a bar for the probability of that exact total.
Team run distributions
TEX (gold) vs MIN (cyan)
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Paired bars per run count.
Projected batting lines
TEX per-game means
| Batter | PA | H | HR | TB | BB | K | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nimmo, Brandon | 4.792 | 1.161 | 0.135 | 1.81 | 0.404 | 1.312 | 0.45 |
| Langford, Wyatt | 4.679 | 1.019 | 0.201 | 1.855 | 0.53 | 1.287 | 0.553 |
| Seager, Corey | 4.57 | 0.996 | 0.227 | 1.885 | 0.487 | 1.306 | 0.607 |
| Burger, Jake | 4.466 | 0.975 | 0.232 | 1.889 | 0.416 | 1.401 | 0.623 |
| Duran, Ezequiel | 4.362 | 1.022 | 0.146 | 1.689 | 0.337 | 1.237 | 0.494 |
| Osuna, Alejandro | 4.251 | 1.054 | 0.059 | 1.385 | 0.359 | 0.893 | 0.361 |
| Jansen, Danny | 4.141 | 0.83 | 0.135 | 1.412 | 0.363 | 1.204 | 0.462 |
| Lopez, Nicky | 4.021 | 1.002 | 0.049 | 1.282 | 0.281 | 0.851 | 0.345 |
| Carter, Evan | 3.91 | 0.704 | 0.091 | 1.109 | 0.412 | 1.162 | 0.339 |
Projected batting lines
MIN per-game means
| Batter | PA | H | HR | TB | BB | K | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaschall, Luke | 4.615 | 1.244 | 0.087 | 1.768 | 0.433 | 0.818 | 0.422 |
| Culpepper, Kaelen | 4.505 | 1.112 | 0.117 | 1.688 | 0.366 | 1.107 | 0.5 |
| Bell, Josh | 4.395 | 1.033 | 0.133 | 1.634 | 0.39 | 1.051 | 0.514 |
| Jeffers, Ryan | 4.288 | 0.987 | 0.146 | 1.662 | 0.468 | 0.956 | 0.549 |
| Clemens, Kody | 4.191 | 0.971 | 0.165 | 1.736 | 0.317 | 1.06 | 0.579 |
| Lewis, Royce | 4.084 | 0.855 | 0.095 | 1.317 | 0.331 | 1.159 | 0.399 |
| Lee, Brooks | 3.972 | 0.975 | 0.139 | 1.618 | 0.263 | 0.786 | 0.482 |
| Martin, Austin | 3.854 | 0.854 | 0.046 | 1.136 | 0.427 | 0.87 | 0.3 |
| Jenkins, Walker | 3.734 | 0.855 | 0.13 | 1.442 | 0.358 | 0.877 | 0.455 |
One representative simulation
A median-outcome game, batter by batter
This is the play-by-play of one sim whose final total matched the median across all runs — a preview of the most typical version of tonight.
— Top 1 —
Nimmo, Brandon vs Kremer, Dean: OUT GB
Langford, Wyatt vs Kremer, Dean: OUT AIR
Seager, Corey vs Kremer, Dean: 2B
Burger, Jake vs Kremer, Dean: 1B
Duran, Ezequiel vs Kremer, Dean: K
— Bottom 1 —
Keaschall, Luke vs Gore, MacKenzie: OUT AIR
Culpepper, Kaelen vs Gore, MacKenzie: BB
Bell, Josh vs Gore, MacKenzie: OUT AIR
Jeffers, Ryan vs Gore, MacKenzie: 1B
Clemens, Kody vs Gore, MacKenzie: OUT GB
— Top 2 —
Osuna, Alejandro vs Kremer, Dean: OUT AIR
Jansen, Danny vs Kremer, Dean: K
Lopez, Nicky vs Kremer, Dean: 1B
Carter, Evan vs Kremer, Dean: K
— Bottom 2 —
Lewis, Royce vs Gore, MacKenzie: 1B
Lee, Brooks vs Gore, MacKenzie: 1B
Martin, Austin vs Gore, MacKenzie: OUT AIR
Jenkins, Walker vs Gore, MacKenzie: OUT GB
Keaschall, Luke vs Gore, MacKenzie: OUT GB
— Top 3 —
Nimmo, Brandon vs Kremer, Dean: OUT AIR
Langford, Wyatt vs Kremer, Dean: 2B
Seager, Corey vs Kremer, Dean: 1B
Burger, Jake vs Kremer, Dean: 1B +1 run (1-0)
Duran, Ezequiel vs Kremer, Dean: OUT AIR
Osuna, Alejandro vs Kremer, Dean: OUT GB
— Bottom 3 —
Culpepper, Kaelen vs Gore, MacKenzie: BB
Bell, Josh vs Gore, MacKenzie: OUT AIR
Jeffers, Ryan vs Gore, MacKenzie: OUT AIR
Clemens, Kody vs Gore, MacKenzie: K
— Top 4 —
Jansen, Danny vs Kremer, Dean: K
Lopez, Nicky vs Kremer, Dean: OUT GB
Carter, Evan vs Kremer, Dean: OUT AIR
— Bottom 4 —
Lewis, Royce vs Gore, MacKenzie: K
Lee, Brooks vs Gore, MacKenzie: OUT AIR
Martin, Austin vs Gore, MacKenzie: 1B
Jenkins, Walker vs Gore, MacKenzie: K
— Top 5 —
Nimmo, Brandon vs Kremer, Dean: OUT GB
Langford, Wyatt vs Kremer, Dean: BB
Seager, Corey vs Kremer, Dean: OUT AIR
Burger, Jake vs Kremer, Dean: BB
Duran, Ezequiel vs Kremer, Dean: K
— Bottom 5 —
Keaschall, Luke vs Gore, MacKenzie: K
Culpepper, Kaelen vs Gore, MacKenzie: K
Bell, Josh vs Gore, MacKenzie: BB
Jeffers, Ryan vs Gore, MacKenzie: K
— Top 6 —
Osuna, Alejandro vs Banda, Anthony: OUT AIR
Jansen, Danny vs Banda, Anthony: 1B
Lopez, Nicky vs Banda, Anthony: BB
Carter, Evan vs Banda, Anthony: K
Nimmo, Brandon vs Banda, Anthony: K
— Bottom 6 —
Clemens, Kody vs Gore, MacKenzie: 2B
Lewis, Royce vs Gray, Peyton: 1B +1 run (1-1)
Lee, Brooks vs Gray, Peyton: OUT AIR
Martin, Austin vs Gray, Peyton: BB
Jenkins, Walker vs Gray, Peyton: OUT GB
Keaschall, Luke vs Winn, Cole: 1B
Culpepper, Kaelen vs Winn, Cole: OUT AIR
— Top 7 —
Langford, Wyatt vs Adams, Travis: 1B
Seager, Corey vs Adams, Travis: K
Burger, Jake vs Adams, Travis: HR +2 runs (3-1)
Duran, Ezequiel vs Adams, Travis: 1B
Osuna, Alejandro vs Adams, Travis: OUT GB
— Bottom 7 —
Bell, Josh vs Winn, Cole: K
Jeffers, Ryan vs Winn, Cole: K
Clemens, Kody vs Montgomery, Jordan: OUT GB
— Top 8 —
Jansen, Danny vs Funderburk, Kody: 1B
Lopez, Nicky vs Funderburk, Kody: 1B
Carter, Evan vs Funderburk, Kody: OUT AIR
Nimmo, Brandon vs Funderburk, Kody: BB
Langford, Wyatt vs Funderburk, Kody: 1B +2 runs (5-1)
Seager, Corey vs Funderburk, Kody: OUT GB
— Bottom 8 —
Lewis, Royce vs Montgomery, Jordan: OUT AIR
Lee, Brooks vs Montgomery, Jordan: OUT GB
Martin, Austin vs Montgomery, Jordan: BB
Jenkins, Walker vs Martin, Chris: OUT AIR
— Top 9 —
Burger, Jake vs Acton, Garrett: OUT AIR
Duran, Ezequiel vs Acton, Garrett: 1B
Osuna, Alejandro vs Acton, Garrett: K
Jansen, Danny vs Acton, Garrett: BB
Lopez, Nicky vs Acton, Garrett: K
— Bottom 9 —
Keaschall, Luke vs Martin, Chris: 1B
Culpepper, Kaelen vs Martin, Chris: OUT GB
Bell, Josh vs Martin, Chris: BB
Jeffers, Ryan vs Martin, Chris: 1B
Clemens, Kody vs Martin, Chris: 1B +2 runs (5-3)
Lewis, Royce vs Baumler, Carter: OUT GB