Heads up
The Mirror is being actively tuned right now. Some live figures may lag or look off while we work through a few issues, so treat numbers here as provisional. Full accuracy back shortly.
The Mirror / 2026-09-27 beta
LAD 5, SF 1. Final.
The Mirror’s record: every call graded →
Batter-by-batter Monte Carlo: each plate appearance is a real matchup probability, played through a full base-out state machine with starter fatigue and bullpen chains. Validated against 358 completed games before launch.
Final
LAD 5, SF 1
The final result has replaced the last live pitch state. Published 03:59:52Z UTC · back to slate
5 – 1final score
6total runs
35% → 0%SF win prob, pregame → final
Pregame baseline
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants
Dreyer, Jack vs Seymour, Carson · engine 0.1.13 · back to slate
LAD 65.2%SF 34.8%
4.54 – 2.85mean score
7.39mean total
57%NRFI
10.4%extra innings
1.74 / 1.62starter K means
Run distributions
Total runs across 8,000 sims
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Hover a bar for the probability of that exact total.
Team run distributions
LAD (gold) vs SF (cyan)
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Paired bars per run count.
Projected batting lines
LAD per-game means
| Batter | PA | H | HR | TB | BB | K | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohtani, Shohei | 4.946 | 1.154 | 0.138 | 1.921 | 0.648 | 1.429 | 0.509 |
| Betts, Mookie | 4.843 | 1.133 | 0.123 | 1.8 | 0.514 | 0.729 | 0.541 |
| Freeman, Freddie | 4.734 | 1.205 | 0.076 | 1.694 | 0.493 | 1.004 | 0.499 |
| Tucker, Kyle | 4.625 | 0.993 | 0.086 | 1.478 | 0.585 | 0.946 | 0.495 |
| Hernández, Teoscar | 4.517 | 1.113 | 0.112 | 1.73 | 0.413 | 1.36 | 0.587 |
| Muncy, Max | 4.4 | 0.973 | 0.142 | 1.674 | 0.5 | 1.224 | 0.592 |
| Pages, Andy | 4.286 | 1.066 | 0.102 | 1.658 | 0.379 | 0.969 | 0.543 |
| Feduccia, Hunter | 4.178 | 0.856 | 0.046 | 1.149 | 0.447 | 1.241 | 0.357 |
| Edman, Tommy | 4.065 | 0.943 | 0.061 | 1.337 | 0.32 | 1.028 | 0.414 |
Projected batting lines
SF per-game means
| Batter | PA | H | HR | TB | BB | K | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cox, Jonah | 4.486 | 0.946 | 0.072 | 1.377 | 0.349 | 1.755 | 0.326 |
| Davidson, Bo | 4.381 | 0.905 | 0.091 | 1.384 | 0.373 | 1.458 | 0.373 |
| Bericoto, Victor | 4.279 | 0.927 | 0.108 | 1.472 | 0.255 | 1.339 | 0.424 |
| Mayer, Marcelo | 4.175 | 0.813 | 0.048 | 1.095 | 0.368 | 1.109 | 0.294 |
| Whitcomb, Shay | 4.078 | 0.792 | 0.076 | 1.19 | 0.273 | 1.323 | 0.321 |
| Cavanaugh, Drew | 3.969 | 0.765 | 0.039 | 1.001 | 0.448 | 1.312 | 0.24 |
| Bandura, Scott | 3.853 | 0.779 | 0.044 | 1.062 | 0.43 | 1.401 | 0.264 |
| Koss, Christian | 3.736 | 0.714 | 0.05 | 1.0 | 0.274 | 1.179 | 0.289 |
| Gilbert, Drew | 3.601 | 0.724 | 0.06 | 1.068 | 0.404 | 0.865 | 0.32 |
One representative simulation
A median-outcome game, batter by batter
This is the play-by-play of one sim whose final total matched the median across all runs — a preview of the most typical version of tonight.
— Top 1 —
Ohtani, Shohei vs Seymour, Carson: BB
Betts, Mookie vs Seymour, Carson: OUT AIR
Freeman, Freddie vs Seymour, Carson: BB
Tucker, Kyle vs Seymour, Carson: 2B +2 runs (2-0)
Hernández, Teoscar vs Seymour, Carson: OUT GB
Muncy, Max vs Seymour, Carson: OUT AIR
— Bottom 1 —
Cox, Jonah vs Dreyer, Jack: BB
Davidson, Bo vs Dreyer, Jack: OUT GB
Bericoto, Victor vs Dreyer, Jack: OUT GB
Mayer, Marcelo vs Dreyer, Jack: OUT AIR
— Top 2 —
Pages, Andy vs Seymour, Carson: 1B
Feduccia, Hunter vs Miller, Erik: OUT AIR
Edman, Tommy vs Miller, Erik: OUT GB
Ohtani, Shohei vs Miller, Erik: OUT AIR
— Bottom 2 —
Whitcomb, Shay vs Dreyer, Jack: OUT AIR
Cavanaugh, Drew vs Vesia, Alex: OUT AIR
Bandura, Scott vs Vesia, Alex: OUT AIR
— Top 3 —
Betts, Mookie vs Miller, Erik: OUT AIR
Freeman, Freddie vs Miller, Erik: K
Tucker, Kyle vs Sanmartin, Reiver: OUT AIR
— Bottom 3 —
Koss, Christian vs Vesia, Alex: OUT AIR
Gilbert, Drew vs Vesia, Alex: K
Cox, Jonah vs Vesia, Alex: OUT GB
— Top 4 —
Hernández, Teoscar vs Sanmartin, Reiver: OUT GB
Muncy, Max vs Sanmartin, Reiver: 2B
Pages, Andy vs Sanmartin, Reiver: K
Feduccia, Hunter vs Hentges, Sam: OUT GB
— Bottom 4 —
Davidson, Bo vs Vesia, Alex: OUT GB
Bericoto, Victor vs Vesia, Alex: K
Mayer, Marcelo vs Vesia, Alex: OUT AIR
— Top 5 —
Edman, Tommy vs Hentges, Sam: OUT GB
Ohtani, Shohei vs Hentges, Sam: K
Betts, Mookie vs Hentges, Sam: OUT AIR
— Bottom 5 —
Whitcomb, Shay vs Vesia, Alex: OUT GB
Cavanaugh, Drew vs Vesia, Alex: K
Bandura, Scott vs Vesia, Alex: K
— Top 6 —
Freeman, Freddie vs Hentges, Sam: OUT AIR
Tucker, Kyle vs Hentges, Sam: 1B
Hernández, Teoscar vs Kilian, Caleb: OUT AIR
Muncy, Max vs Kilian, Caleb: K
— Bottom 6 —
Koss, Christian vs Vesia, Alex: OUT GB
Gilbert, Drew vs Ryan, River: OUT GB
Cox, Jonah vs Ryan, River: OUT GB
— Top 7 —
Pages, Andy vs Kilian, Caleb: K
Feduccia, Hunter vs Kilian, Caleb: OUT GB
Edman, Tommy vs Smith, Dylan: 1B
Ohtani, Shohei vs Smith, Dylan: BB
Betts, Mookie vs Smith, Dylan: 2B +2 runs (4-0)
Freeman, Freddie vs Smith, Dylan: BB
Tucker, Kyle vs Bivens, Spencer: 1B
Hernández, Teoscar vs Bivens, Spencer: OUT GB
— Bottom 7 —
Davidson, Bo vs Ryan, River: OUT AIR
Bericoto, Victor vs Ryan, River: OUT AIR
Mayer, Marcelo vs Ryan, River: K
— Top 8 —
Muncy, Max vs Bivens, Spencer: HR +1 run (5-0)
Pages, Andy vs Bivens, Spencer: OUT GB
Feduccia, Hunter vs Bivens, Spencer: BB
Edman, Tommy vs Harris, Trent: OUT AIR
Ohtani, Shohei vs Harris, Trent: K
— Bottom 8 —
Whitcomb, Shay vs Ryan, River: 1B
Cavanaugh, Drew vs Stewart, Brock: K
Bandura, Scott vs Stewart, Brock: 1B
Koss, Christian vs Stewart, Brock: 1B +1 run (5-1)
Gilbert, Drew vs Stewart, Brock: OUT AIR
Cox, Jonah vs Hurt, Kyle: BB
Davidson, Bo vs Hurt, Kyle: OUT AIR
— Top 9 —
Betts, Mookie vs Harris, Trent: OUT GB
Freeman, Freddie vs Harris, Trent: K
Tucker, Kyle vs Winn, Keaton: K
— Bottom 9 —
Bericoto, Victor vs Hurt, Kyle: OUT GB
Mayer, Marcelo vs Hurt, Kyle: OUT GB
Whitcomb, Shay vs Phillips, Evan: 2B
Cavanaugh, Drew vs Phillips, Evan: 1B +1 run (5-2)
Bandura, Scott vs Phillips, Evan: K