Mithrandir Metrics
NYM National League East Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

New York Mets

90.8-71.2 with P10-P90 wins 81-101. 80.7 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
90.8-71.2
Live pace
74.5
Delta
-16.4
Record 74-87 Run diff -30 Generated 2026-09-27T11:48:30.615249+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason91.0
Current pace74.5
Rolling p5079.0
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
70.4 74.5 79.0 83.4 87.5
MOVE -12.0 wins PACE behind BULLPEN FIP 4.24
October path

Projection odds

Division41.3%
Playoffs80.3%
Pennant18.6%
World Series10.3%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.282
Rotation FIP4.26
Bullpen FIP4.24
Run diff97.8
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-27; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-27.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CTorrens, Luis367-0.28
1BBaty, Brett4470.11
2BSemien, Marcus5550.84
SSLindor, Francisco6588.33
3BBichette, Bo5754.53
LFSoto, Juan64923.01
CFEwing, A.j.200-0.29
RFBenge, Carson----
DHMauricio, Ronny292-0.11
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Polanco, JorgeHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Young, JaredHitterIL-10Injured 7-Day
Scott, ChristianPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Megill, TylorPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Garrett, ReedPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Duarte, DanielPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Pintaro, JonathanPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Stock, RobertPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Wagaman, EricHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Senger, HaydenHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Cairo, ChristianHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Abner, PhilipPitcherOut / inactiveNot Yet Reported