Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Wagaman, Eric
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 29
Status Out / inactive
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
37
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.296 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 22% |
xwOBA
0.276
0.291
0.308
0.324
0.339
wOBA
0.255
0.291
0.331
0.371
0.407
ISO
0.110
0.134
0.160
0.186
0.209
K%
16.5%
18.0%
19.7%
21.4%
23.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.2%
27
-25 vs proj
Exit velocity86.4
34
Hard-hit%35.7%
38
-36 vs proj
xBA0.304
33
xSLG0.487
46
xwOBA0.296
43
-17 vs proj
BB%7.9%
43
+22 vs proj
Bat speed70.2
60
K%22.2%
54
-19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
47
Arm Runs-0.1 · 1B
Small sample
Range Runs-0.4 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts1.0 · 1B
11
Sprint Speed26.6 · 1B
28
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.5% · rebadged research
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.9% · rebadged research
25
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · borderline
36
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
54
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
56
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
63
Resists FastballwOBA 0.356 · validated
20
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
51
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
20 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.019 |
| Sample | 63 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 477 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 11 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.312 | 0.277 to 0.348 | +/- 0.035 |
| ISO | 0.151 | 0.093 to 0.216 | +/- 0.062 |
| Barrel% | 4.9% | 3.1% to 7.6% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 43.2% | 39.0% to 51.7% | +/- 6.3% |
| K% | 18.9% | 17.3% to 24.7% | +/- 3.7% |
| BB% | 5.9% | 4.1% to 8.8% | +/- 2.4% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.261 to 0.324 | +/- 0.032 |
vs LHP
214 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.238 |
| K% | 14.3% |
| BB% | 4.0% |
| Barrel | 4.3% |
vs RHP
414 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.217 |
| K% | 14.4% |
| BB% | 4.1% |
| Barrel | 3.6% |