Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / NYM · 2026
Mauricio, Ronny
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team NYM
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
65
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.291 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.291 |
| Observed weight | 23% |
xwOBA
0.251
0.270
0.291
0.312
0.331
wOBA
0.260
0.295
0.334
0.373
0.408
ISO
0.120
0.146
0.174
0.202
0.228
K%
22.4%
24.8%
27.3%
29.9%
32.3%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.0%
95
+37 vs proj
Exit velocity90.2
81
Hard-hit%37.2%
45
xBA0.315
47
xSLG0.644
88
xwOBA0.289
34
-17 vs proj
BB%3.0%
3
-30 vs proj
Bat speed73.9
93
K%31.3%
12
-20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
47
Range Runs-2.7 · SS
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.8 · SS
13
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 47.6% · rebadged research
2
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.9% · rebadged research
82
Correct Decisions57.9% · rebadged research
4
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · borderline
85
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
83
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293 · validated thin sample
23
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
66
Resists FastballwOBA 0.383 · validated
7
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline86
7
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
32 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.030 |
| Sample | 67 PA |
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 292 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.304 | 0.236 to 0.330 | +/- 0.047 |
| ISO | 0.170 | 0.087 to 0.222 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% | 5.3% | 2.1% to 7.5% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 38.4% | 31.0% to 49.3% | +/- 9.1% |
| K% | 26.2% | 20.6% to 32.7% | +/- 6.0% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 4.4% to 11.0% | +/- 3.3% |
| BABIP | 0.293 | 0.229 to 0.335 | +/- 0.053 |
vs LHP
91 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.144 |
| K% | 15.2% |
| BB% | 4.1% |
| Barrel | 2.3% |
vs RHP
222 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.154 |
| K% | 14.5% |
| BB% | 4.2% |
| Barrel | 2.9% |