The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Arozarena, Randy in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats R · 695 PA

Ranked comps for Arozarena, Randy

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 725 PA 0.73 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate Barrel rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.1zSwing length +1.0z
02 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 554 PA 0.72 Oppo rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate -1.1zIsolated power -1.0zBat speed +1.0z
03 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA 0.66 Strikeout rateSprint speedHard-hit rate Bat speed +1.5zBarrel rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.1z
04 Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 719 PA 0.65 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateOppo rate In-zone contact +1.7zIsolated power -1.0zChase rate -1.0z
05 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 649 PA 0.64 Isolated powerOppo rateMax exit velocity In-zone contact +1.5zBat speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z
06 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 511 PA 0.63 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactMax exit velocity Swing length +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.3zWhiff rate +1.0z
07 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateChase rate Oppo rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.0z
08 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA 0.61 Whiff rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate In-zone contact +1.7zSprint speed +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.0z
09 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA 0.61 Whiff rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate Avg exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z
10 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 701 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateSprint speed Walk rate +1.8zBat speed +1.3zOppo rate -1.0z
11 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 496 PA 0.60 Barrel rateSprint speedFly-ball rate In-zone contact +2.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.0z
12 Turang, Brice MIL · L · 695 PA 0.58 Hard-hit rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate In-zone contact +1.5zSwing length -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.