The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Arozarena, Randy in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats R · 695 PA
Ranked comps for Arozarena, Randy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 725 PA | 0.73 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Barrel rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.1zSwing length +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 554 PA | 0.72 | Oppo rateBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.1zIsolated power -1.0zBat speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA | 0.66 | Strikeout rateSprint speedHard-hit rate | Bat speed +1.5zBarrel rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 719 PA | 0.65 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateOppo rate | In-zone contact +1.7zIsolated power -1.0zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 649 PA | 0.64 | Isolated powerOppo rateMax exit velocity | In-zone contact +1.5zBat speed +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 511 PA | 0.63 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactMax exit velocity | Swing length +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.3zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 370 PA | 0.63 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateChase rate | Oppo rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA | 0.61 | Whiff rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | In-zone contact +1.7zSprint speed +1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA | 0.61 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Avg exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 701 PA | 0.61 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateSprint speed | Walk rate +1.8zBat speed +1.3zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 496 PA | 0.60 | Barrel rateSprint speedFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +2.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Turang, Brice MIL · L · 695 PA | 0.58 | Hard-hit rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.5zSwing length -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.