Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Paul Goldschmidt

1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 225 lb · Age 39

Cards
15
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position 1B Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024654701472211.245.302.414.716
202553476134105.274.328.403.731
20263804487181.252.313.452.765
16 Seasons920613242277390175.286.375.501.876
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
56
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
53
Defense2 metrics
87
Speed1 metrics
10
Plate skills10 metrics
50
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.331
xwOBA current pace0.311
xwOBA rolling p500.318
Observed weight64%
xwOBA
0.293 0.305 0.318 0.331 0.343
wOBA
0.318 0.332 0.349 0.365 0.379
ISO
0.158 0.171 0.186 0.201 0.214
K%
20.3% 21.4% 22.7% 23.9% 25.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
79 +19 vs proj
Exit velocity87.0
41
Hard-hit%36.9%
44 -27 vs proj
xBA0.316
48
xSLG0.550
66
xwOBA0.311
59 -18 vs proj
BB%7.6%
39
Bat speed69.9
54
K%22.8%
51
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg5.0 · 1B
90
Range Runs3.7 · 1B
84
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.5 · 1B
10
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.6% · rebadged research
46
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.2% · rebadged research
47
Correct Decisions66.3% · rebadged research
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.305 · borderline
22
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
76
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.303 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
98
Resists FastballwOBA 0.406 · validated
1
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.321 · validated
97
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Goldschmidt, Paul · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.311 2026-09-13: 0.3152026-09-14: 0.3152026-09-18: 0.3162026-09-19: 0.3142026-09-20: 0.3142026-09-21: 0.3142026-09-22: 0.3142026-09-23: 0.3132026-09-24: 0.3132026-09-25: 0.3132026-09-26: 0.3112026-09-27: 0.311 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

160 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Goldschmidt, Paul · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 9% of plotted batted ballsPull 9%Center field third: 74% of plotted batted ballsCenter 74%Right field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsOppo 17% LF 318 CF 408 RF 314 2026-03-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 97.8 / LA 61.02026-03-19 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 72.2 / LA 23.02026-03-21 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 49.02026-03-21 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 33.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 11.02026-03-22 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -24.02026-03-23 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 24.02026-03-24 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -8.02026-03-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.0 / LA -38.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · popup · EV 64.0 / LA 56.02026-03-27 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA 8.02026-03-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -28.02026-03-27 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -22.02026-04-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 34.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA -9.02026-04-13 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 12.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 56.1 / LA 25.02026-04-14 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.4 / LA 4.02026-04-15 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 10.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -8.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 26.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 24.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.1 / LA -8.02026-04-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.5 / LA -7.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 86.6 / LA 12.02026-04-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 44.7 / LA 23.02026-04-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 21.02026-04-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 20.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -18.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -7.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 51.02026-05-01 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 41.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 39.02026-05-03 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 80.5 / LA 20.02026-05-03 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA -12.02026-05-04 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 92.5 / LA 19.02026-05-04 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 18.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.5 / LA -1.02026-05-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.1 / LA 15.02026-05-05 · home run · CH · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 21.02026-05-06 · field out · FS · popup · EV 72.1 / LA 79.02026-05-06 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 7.02026-05-07 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 30.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 21.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 57.02026-05-09 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 26.02026-05-09 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 7.02026-05-09 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 2.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 50.0 / LA -41.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.8 / LA 77.02026-05-11 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 98.8 / LA 9.02026-05-12 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.8 / LA 34.02026-05-12 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 41.02026-05-12 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 9.02026-05-16 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 86.5 / LA 15.02026-05-16 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 106.7 / LA 4.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 33.02026-05-18 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 30.02026-05-18 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 108.2 / LA 20.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 3.02026-05-18 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 71.6 / LA 3.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA -9.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 57.4 / LA 64.02026-05-20 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 69.0 / LA 43.02026-05-20 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -17.02026-05-21 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 78.2 / LA -9.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA -32.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 8.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 6.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 37.02026-05-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 47.1 / LA -39.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.9 / LA -1.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA -12.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 17.02026-05-25 · single · SL · popup · EV 36.8 / LA 43.02026-05-26 · field out · EP · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 4.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 69.5 / LA -2.02026-05-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 9.02026-05-26 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -4.02026-05-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 11.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 31.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -5.02026-05-27 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 6.02026-05-27 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 76.7 / LA 23.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA -10.02026-05-31 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 62.4 / LA -26.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 38.02026-05-31 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.5 / LA -21.02026-06-04 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.4 / LA -12.02026-06-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA 3.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 46.6 / LA 26.02026-06-05 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.2 / LA -1.02026-06-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 41.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -6.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA -7.02026-06-07 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 68.6 / LA 37.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · popup · EV 73.7 / LA 79.02026-06-07 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 86.2 / LA 20.02026-06-18 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 64.4 / LA 28.02026-06-18 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 45.8 / LA -27.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.4 / LA -18.02026-06-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 48.02026-06-20 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 50.0 / LA -19.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA -11.02026-06-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 25.02026-06-22 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -3.02026-06-22 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -10.02026-06-24 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 30.02026-06-24 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 31.02026-06-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA -2.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA -16.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · popup · EV 93.7 / LA 68.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.2 / LA 57.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.7 / LA -32.02026-06-30 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.6 / LA -5.02026-07-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 30.02026-07-27 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -19.02026-07-27 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 65.9 / LA -57.02026-07-27 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 90.1 / LA 8.02026-07-31 · grounded into double play · FS · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA 11.02026-07-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 2.02026-07-31 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 4.02026-08-02 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 41.02026-08-04 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -2.02026-08-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 47.02026-08-05 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 1.02026-08-08 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 0.02026-08-08 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 22.02026-08-21 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 31.02026-08-21 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 66.6 / LA 29.02026-08-29 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 38.02026-08-29 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 7.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 75.9 / LA 72.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.3 / LA 43.02026-08-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.9 / LA 12.02026-08-30 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 29.02026-08-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -9.02026-08-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.3 / LA -5.02026-08-30 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 23.02026-09-01 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 27.02026-09-02 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 0.02026-09-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 19.02026-09-02 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA -2.02026-09-05 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 9.02026-09-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.5 / LA 1.02026-09-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 7.02026-09-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 21.02026-09-12 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 69.7 / LA -60.02026-09-12 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 10.02026-09-12 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA 7.02026-09-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.5 / LA 45.02026-09-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA -2.02026-09-18 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 82.2 / LA 43.02026-09-18 · field out · CU · popup · EV 79.7 / LA 69.02026-09-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA -2.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 20.02026-09-25 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 79.3 / LA 41.02026-09-25 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 98.6 / LA 22.02026-09-25 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA -26.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 30.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Goldschmidt, Paul · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 32%32%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 79%79%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 37%37% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age39
Height6' 2"
Weight225 lb
Debut2011-08-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.019
wOBA Δ+0.019

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.349
xwOBA (deserved)0.311

Goldschmidt’s wOBA sits at 0.349, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.311 — a gap of 0.038, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 395 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Stewart, Sal CIN · R 0.75 Whiff rateChase rate Player · Projection
Walker, Christian HOU · R 0.73 Walk rateChase rate Player · Projection
Machado, Manny SD · R 0.65 xwOBA on contactIsolated power Player · Projection
France, Ty SD · R 0.63 Bat speedMax exit velocity Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting72026-08-28Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding82026-09-254 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -1.257
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.330 xwOBA | 16 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E1-4 | RBI
2026-04-15 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-04-14 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K
2026-04-13 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-2 | 2B, BB, K
2026-04-04 vs MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-0 | BB, R