The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Duran, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats R · 608 PA
Ranked comps for Duran, Ezequiel
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Turner, Trea PHI · R · 717 PA | 0.76 | In-zone contactHard-hit rateOppo rate | Swing length +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA | 0.75 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity | Chase rate -1.0zOppo rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA | 0.72 | Pull rateBarrel rateGround-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.4zOppo rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 349 PA | 0.70 | Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Swing length +1.3zBat speed +1.0zGround-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 596 PA | 0.69 | Sprint speedIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +1.5zWalk rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 490 PA | 0.69 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate | Chase rate -1.6zSwing length -1.5zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 583 PA | 0.68 | Bat speedChase rateWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.0zFly-ball rate +0.8zGround-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Benge, Carson NYM · L · 663 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateWalk rateOppo rate | Chase rate -1.4zSwing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Taveras, Leody BAL · L · 496 PA | 0.66 | Sprint speedPull rateWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zAvg exit velocity -1.3zIsolated power -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 383 PA | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactBat speed | Isolated power -1.3zWalk rate -1.1zSwing length +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA | 0.66 | Strikeout rateBat speedWalk rate | Oppo rate -1.8zBarrel rate +1.0zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 390 PA | 0.66 | Barrel rateOppo rateWalk rate | Sprint speed -2.1zChase rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.