The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Walker, Christian in signal, the comp in amber.
HOU · bats R · 644 PA
Ranked comps for Walker, Christian
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 686 PA | 0.81 | In-zone contactBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Walk rate +1.3zSwing length +1.0zWhiff rate -0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA | 0.78 | Sprint speedBat speedWalk rate | Isolated power -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0zHard-hit rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 367 PA | 0.75 | Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateSweet-spot rate | Isolated power -1.3zSwing length -0.9zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA | 0.73 | Walk rateChase rateIsolated power | In-zone contact -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.0zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 646 PA | 0.73 | Barrel rateSprint speedHard-hit rate | Swing length +1.2zWhiff rate -1.1zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA | 0.72 | Avg exit velocitySwing lengthSweet-spot rate | Chase rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.1zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 634 PA | 0.70 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerFly-ball rate | Sprint speed +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 436 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateOppo rateBat speed | Whiff rate -1.4zWalk rate +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 486 PA | 0.68 | Whiff rateOppo rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zIsolated power -1.4zxwOBA on contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 653 PA | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactSprint speedMax exit velocity | Strikeout rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.4zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA | 0.67 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactChase rate | Isolated power -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.66 | Barrel rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate +1.4zChase rate -1.0zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.