The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tawa, Tim in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats R · 366 PA
Ranked comps for Tawa, Tim
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 671 PA | 0.83 | Swing lengthIsolated powerWalk rate | Avg exit velocity +1.3zWhiff rate -0.8zHard-hit rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 449 PA | 0.76 | In-zone contactIsolated powerxwOBA on contact | Swing length +1.4zSprint speed +1.3zGround-ball rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA | 0.72 | Walk rateChase rateFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA | 0.72 | Walk rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate | Barrel rate -1.4zSwing length +1.0zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA | 0.70 | Chase rateBat speedGround-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.7zOppo rate +1.2zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.69 | Ground-ball rateOppo rateChase rate | Pull rate +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.0zSwing length +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 449 PA | 0.69 | Whiff rateBat speedChase rate | Pull rate +1.1zHard-hit rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 486 PA | 0.68 | In-zone contactBarrel ratePull rate | Oppo rate +1.3zSwing length +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power | Sprint speed -1.3zPull rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA | 0.67 | Walk rateIsolated powerBat speed | Chase rate -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 583 PA | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.7zIn-zone contact +1.2zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 608 PA | 0.66 | Strikeout rateBat speedWalk rate | Oppo rate +1.8zBarrel rate -1.0zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.