The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Goldschmidt, Paul in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats R · 395 PA
Ranked comps for Goldschmidt, Paul
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 721 PA | 0.75 | Whiff rateChase rateIsolated power | Avg exit velocity +1.3zxwOBA on contact +0.8zSprint speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA | 0.73 | Walk rateChase rateIsolated power | In-zone contact +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 686 PA | 0.65 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.4zWalk rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | France, Ty SD · R · 518 PA | 0.63 | Bat speedMax exit velocitySwing length | Avg exit velocity +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA | 0.63 | Whiff rateSweet-spot rateBat speed | Isolated power -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.4zPull rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 691 PA | 0.61 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Avg exit velocity +1.4zSprint speed +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 367 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedStrikeout rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact +1.3zIsolated power -1.2zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA | 0.60 | Sweet-spot rateGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | In-zone contact +2.0zPull rate +1.0zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 685 PA | 0.59 | Oppo ratePull rateSprint speed | Avg exit velocity +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 357 PA | 0.58 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +2.0zStrikeout rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 390 PA | 0.58 | Hard-hit rateWalk rateSweet-spot rate | Fly-ball rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.3zSwing length -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA | 0.57 | Barrel rateBat speedWalk rate | Oppo rate -1.9zSprint speed +1.6zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.