The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Hernández, Teoscar in signal, the comp in amber.
LAD · bats R · 508 PA
Ranked comps for Hernández, Teoscar
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 645 PA | 0.78 | Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Ground-ball rate -1.2zBat speed +1.1zPull rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | House, Brady WSH · R · 367 PA | 0.77 | Avg exit velocitySprint speedxwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9zGround-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 449 PA | 0.75 | Max exit velocitySweet-spot ratePull rate | Oppo rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +0.9zxwOBA on contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 721 PA | 0.74 | Avg exit velocityChase rateBat speed | Sprint speed -1.3zWhiff rate -1.0zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA | 0.73 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot ratePull rate | Walk rate +1.0zStrikeout rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 486 PA | 0.73 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.1zIn-zone contact +0.9zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Smith, Cam HOU · R · 577 PA | 0.71 | Isolated powerOppo rateBarrel rate | Bat speed +1.6zSweet-spot rate -0.8zMax exit velocity +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 582 PA | 0.70 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.7zWhiff rate -1.2zSwing length -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateWhiff rateSprint speed | Oppo rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 634 PA | 0.64 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Pull rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 691 PA | 0.64 | Oppo rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.3zStrikeout rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 683 PA | 0.63 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Pull rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.2zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.