Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2016-08-12 |
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers
Teoscar Hernández
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 215 lb · Age 33
Club Los Angeles Dodgers
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 652 | 84 | 160 | 33 | 12 | .272 | .339 | .501 | .840 |
| 2025 | 546 | 65 | 126 | 25 | 5 | .247 | .284 | .454 | .738 |
| 2026 | 491 | 66 | 118 | 16 | 5 | .267 | .334 | .425 | .759 |
| 11 Seasons | 4898 | 637 | 1172 | 233 | 64 | .261 | .318 | .478 | .796 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
84
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.336 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.332 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.333 |
| Observed weight | 70% |
xwOBA
0.309
0.321
0.333
0.346
0.358
wOBA
0.336
0.349
0.363
0.377
0.390
ISO
0.148
0.160
0.174
0.187
0.199
K%
25.3%
26.4%
27.6%
28.7%
29.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.2%
83
Exit velocity90.4
83
Hard-hit%45.2%
81
xBA0.370
94
xSLG0.630
86
xwOBA0.332
80
BB%8.6%
52
+25 vs proj
Bat speed70.8
69
K%27.6%
25
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.5 · LF
40
Arm Strength91.9 · LF
35
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · LF
5
Range Runs-4.6 · LF
13
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.9 · LF
29
Bolts1.0 · LF
11
Sprint Speed28.3 · LF
75
SB Success Rate75.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.8% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0% · rebadged research
40
Correct Decisions64.5% · rebadged research
31
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
38
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
16
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.317 · validated thin sample
4
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.301 · insufficient sample
93
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
55
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.396 · validated
4
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
240 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.027 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Hernández’s wOBA sits at 0.363, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.332 — a gap of 0.031, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 511 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riley, Austin ATL · R | 0.78 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| House, Brady WSH · R | 0.76 | Avg exit velocitySprint speed | Player · Projection |
| Crews, Dylan WSH · R | 0.75 | Max exit velocityChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Stewart, Sal CIN · R | 0.74 | Avg exit velocityChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 13 | 2026-08-03 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.336 xwOBA | 27 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-05-20 @ SD1 HR | 2 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | HR, BB, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-20 @ COL0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs NYM1 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, RBI, 2 R |