Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2019-04-20 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Bryan Reynolds
LF · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 2", 210 lb · Age 31
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 692 | 73 | 171 | 24 | 10 | .275 | .344 | .447 | .791 |
| 2025 | 654 | 68 | 144 | 16 | 3 | .245 | .318 | .402 | .720 |
| 2026 | 699 | 102 | 155 | 17 | 9 | .261 | .365 | .424 | .789 |
| 8 Seasons | 4699 | 602 | 1121 | 155 | 50 | .270 | .349 | .454 | .803 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
85
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.337 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.355 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.351 |
| Observed weight | 77% |
xwOBA
0.330
0.340
0.351
0.362
0.371
wOBA
0.342
0.353
0.365
0.377
0.388
ISO
0.139
0.149
0.160
0.171
0.180
K%
21.5%
22.4%
23.4%
24.4%
25.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
78
Exit velocity91.0
87
Hard-hit%48.3%
89
xBA0.350
83
xSLG0.609
82
xwOBA0.355
94
BB%12.8%
91
+46 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
64
K%23.1%
49
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.2 · LF
22
Arm Strength99.0 · LF
87
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
25
Range Runs-3.0 · LF
20
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.9 · LF
76
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
94
Sprint Speed28.2 · LF
71
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.7% · rebadged research
83
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
84
Correct Decisions71.6% · rebadged research
93
Resists FastballwOBA 0.401 · validated
2
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
84
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
35
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
25
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
31
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.017 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.028 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Reynolds’s wOBA sits at 0.365, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.355 — a gap of 0.011, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 719 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karros, Kyle COL · R | 0.74 | Swing lengthIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Keith, Colt DET · L | 0.70 | Bat speedChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Butler, Lawrence ATH · L | 0.69 | Isolated powerChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L | 0.69 | Bat speedStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 10 | 2026-09-10 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 18 | 2026-09-26 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +3.373 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.337 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-05-20 @ STL0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | 3 BB, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, R |