The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Reynolds, Bryan in signal, the comp in amber.
PIT · bats L · 717 PA
Ranked comps for Reynolds, Bryan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 492 PA | 0.74 | Swing lengthIsolated powerPull rate | Sprint speed -0.9zBat speed -0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Keith, Colt DET · L · 444 PA | 0.70 | Bat speedChase rateSprint speed | Walk rate -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.0zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 671 PA | 0.70 | Bat speedStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Walk rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.1zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 550 PA | 0.69 | Isolated powerSwing lengthChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 486 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity | Swing length +1.2zWalk rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 456 PA | 0.68 | Barrel ratePull rateChase rate | Sprint speed -1.7zGround-ball rate -1.2zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA | 0.67 | Walk rateBarrel ratePull rate | Ground-ball rate -1.7zHard-hit rate -1.2zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 696 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate | Chase rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.1zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 691 PA | 0.65 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateMax exit velocity | In-zone contact -1.7zIsolated power +1.0zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateSwing lengthWhiff rate | Walk rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.4zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Turang, Brice MIL · L · 691 PA | 0.62 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactChase rate | Max exit velocity -1.4zBat speed -1.1zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 479 PA | 0.62 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateFly-ball rate | Swing length +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.4zBat speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.