Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2012-04-28 |
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies
Bryce Harper
1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 210 lb · Age 33
Club Philadelphia Phillies
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 631 | 85 | 157 | 30 | 7 | .285 | .373 | .525 | .898 |
| 2025 | 580 | 72 | 131 | 27 | 12 | .261 | .357 | .487 | .844 |
| 2026 | 693 | 93 | 155 | 29 | 7 | .269 | .380 | .485 | .865 |
| 15 Seasons | 8358 | 1247 | 1956 | 392 | 159 | .279 | .386 | .516 | .902 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
84
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.357 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.379 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.374 |
| Observed weight | 76% |
xwOBA
0.353
0.363
0.374
0.385
0.395
wOBA
0.361
0.372
0.385
0.397
0.408
ISO
0.187
0.198
0.211
0.223
0.234
K%
19.7%
20.5%
21.5%
22.5%
23.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.6%
76
Exit velocity89.8
75
Hard-hit%43.2%
75
xBA0.364
91
xSLG0.647
89
xwOBA0.379
99
BB%15.3%
98
Bat speed72.4
83
K%21.4%
59
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · 1B
89
Arm Strength93.7 · 1B
91
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 1B
8
Range Runs-6.7 · 1B
9
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-3.4 · 1B
5
SB Success Rate44.4% · 1B
2
Sprint Speed27.2 · 1B
44
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.3% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.6% · rebadged research
95
Correct Decisions68.4% · rebadged research
74
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.348 · borderline
1
Resists FastballwOBA 0.419 · validated
1
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
81
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.301 · insufficient sample
11
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.301 · validated thin sample
14
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
50
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.389 · validated
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.021 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.027 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Harper’s wOBA sits at 0.385, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.379 — a gap of 0.005, -0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 701 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eldridge, Bryce SF · L | 0.67 | Max exit velocitySwing length | Player · Projection |
| Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Canzone, Dominic SEA · L | 0.66 | Bat speedPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R | 0.64 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-08-24 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 29 | 2026-09-27 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.837 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.358 xwOBA | 25 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-05-20 vs CIN0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-20 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-17 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | 3B |
| 2026-04-15 vs CHC1 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, 2 K, RBI |