The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 254 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Castro, Willi in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats L · 498 PA

Ranked comps for Castro, Willi

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.74 Sprint speedBarrel rateHard-hit rate Chase rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.2zPull rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 633 PA 0.73 Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate Fly-ball rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.2zSprint speed +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA 0.70 Strikeout rateOppo rateMax exit velocity Avg exit velocity +1.2zBarrel rate +1.1zBat speed +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA 0.69 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateIsolated power Swing length +1.9zAvg exit velocity +0.9zGround-ball rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA 0.68 In-zone contactxwOBA on contactWhiff rate Pull rate -1.7zAvg exit velocity +1.1zChase rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.67 Sweet-spot rateSwing lengthWhiff rate Sprint speed -1.7zChase rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA 0.67 Bat speedHard-hit ratePull rate Isolated power +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 380 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.4zIsolated power +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.66 Pull rateBarrel rateSprint speed Chase rate -1.2zWhiff rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 649 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateIsolated powerSprint speed Avg exit velocity +1.6zPull rate -1.1zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 649 PA 0.63 Hard-hit rateWhiff rateSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.7zPull rate -1.1zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 485 PA 0.62 Bat speedBarrel ratePull rate Max exit velocity -1.4zWalk rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.