The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cowser, Colton in signal, the comp in amber.

BAL · bats L · 411 PA

Ranked comps for Cowser, Colton

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.74 Sprint speedBarrel rateHard-hit rate Chase rate +1.3zWalk rate -1.2zPull rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 631 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateIsolated powerWhiff rate Walk rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 449 PA 0.67 Isolated powerOppo rateBat speed Walk rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 634 PA 0.67 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactOppo rate Avg exit velocity +1.1zIsolated power +1.0zBarrel rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 508 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateWhiff rateSprint speed Oppo rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.2zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 486 PA 0.66 Swing lengthChase rateFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.2zSprint speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 645 PA 0.65 Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactPull rate Walk rate -1.5zAvg exit velocity +1.5zBarrel rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 552 PA 0.65 Ground-ball rateChase rateSprint speed Pull rate +2.4zSwing length +0.9zOppo rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 652 PA 0.65 In-zone contactSprint speedHard-hit rate Swing length -1.4zPull rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.65 Isolated powerGround-ball rateBat speed Sprint speed -1.7zWalk rate -1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA 0.61 Isolated powerChase ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 528 PA 0.60 Oppo rateIsolated powerWhiff rate Walk rate -1.6zSwing length +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.