The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abrams, CJ in signal, the comp in amber.
WSH · bats L · 671 PA
Ranked comps for Abrams, CJ
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 479 PA | 0.77 | Bat speedStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Walk rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0zFly-ball rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 376 PA | 0.75 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.2zAvg exit velocity -0.9zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.71 | Whiff rateBat speedIn-zone contact | Swing length +1.3zFly-ball rate +0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 597 PA | 0.70 | xwOBA on contactIsolated powerBat speed | Swing length -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.0zMax exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.68 | Bat speedHard-hit ratePull rate | Isolated power -1.5zMax exit velocity +1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 683 PA | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.4zIsolated power -1.0zHard-hit rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.67 | Pull rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Ground-ball rate +1.1zIsolated power -1.1zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 634 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateChase rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zMax exit velocity +1.0zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 528 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocityBarrel rate | Isolated power -1.9zSwing length +0.9zGround-ball rate -0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedIsolated powerMax exit velocity | Swing length -1.4zSprint speed -1.1zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 647 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed -1.5zChase rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed -1.9zPull rate -1.0zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.