The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carrigg, Cole in signal, the comp in amber.
COL · bats L · 376 PA
Ranked comps for Carrigg, Cole
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 479 PA | 0.77 | Max exit velocityStrikeout rateBat speed | Whiff rate +1.1zWalk rate -1.0zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 671 PA | 0.75 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.2zAvg exit velocity +0.9zIsolated power +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.72 | Pull rateBat speedIsolated power | Swing length +1.8zFly-ball rate +0.8zWhiff rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.72 | Oppo ratePull ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA | 0.71 | Bat speedFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Pull rate -1.1zBarrel rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 583 PA | 0.71 | Chase ratexwOBA on contactWhiff rate | Oppo rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 449 PA | 0.70 | Max exit velocityIn-zone contactBat speed | Sprint speed -1.5zChase rate -1.0zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA | 0.69 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact | Chase rate -1.6zBarrel rate +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Bellinger, Cody NYY · L · 578 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateBarrel rateSweet-spot rate | Strikeout rate -1.3zSwing length +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA | 0.67 | Walk rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.4zPull rate -1.0zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateWalk rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityPull rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.5zWhiff rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.