The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. McMahon, Ryan in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 381 PA

Ranked comps for McMahon, Ryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA 0.79 xwOBA on contactSwing lengthOppo rate Max exit velocity -0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.8zFly-ball rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA 0.78 Sprint speedBat speedWalk rate Isolated power +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.0zHard-hit rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 486 PA 0.77 Whiff rateChase rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +1.3zPull rate -1.0zWalk rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 645 PA 0.75 Fly-ball rateOppo rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed +1.5zGround-ball rate -0.8zBarrel rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Ballesteros, Moisés CHC · L · 367 PA 0.72 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power Chase rate +1.3zPull rate -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 432 PA 0.71 Swing lengthStrikeout rateHard-hit rate Barrel rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -1.0zGround-ball rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA 0.68 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power Sprint speed +1.3zPull rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.67 Sweet-spot rateSwing lengthWhiff rate Sprint speed +1.7zChase rate +1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA 0.67 Sprint speedIsolated powerChase rate Walk rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -1.1zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 646 PA 0.66 Pull rateSprint speedxwOBA on contact Strikeout rate -1.6zSwing length +1.6zWhiff rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 634 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityPull rate Chase rate +1.1zSprint speed +1.1zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA 0.65 Bat speedAvg exit velocityOppo rate Sprint speed +1.6zStrikeout rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.