The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ballesteros, Moisés in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats L · 367 PA
Ranked comps for Ballesteros, Moisés
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA | 0.77 | In-zone contactBat speedSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.0zxwOBA on contact +0.9zChase rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA | 0.75 | Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateSweet-spot rate | Isolated power +1.3zSwing length +0.9zBat speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA | 0.72 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power | Chase rate -1.3zPull rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 653 PA | 0.66 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateHard-hit rate | Strikeout rate -1.4zChase rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateWhiff rateBat speed | Sprint speed +1.9zOppo rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball rateBat speedStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 390 PA | 0.64 | Pull rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate | Hard-hit rate -1.3zChase rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 686 PA | 0.63 | Barrel rateSprint speedAvg exit velocity | Swing length +2.0zIsolated power +1.1zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Ramos, Heliot SF · R · 455 PA | 0.61 | Whiff rateIn-zone contactPull rate | xwOBA on contact +1.7zSprint speed +1.6zBarrel rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedStrikeout rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact -1.3zIsolated power +1.2zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA | 0.60 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball ratePull rate | Sprint speed +1.4zHard-hit rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 685 PA | 0.59 | Max exit velocityIn-zone contactHard-hit rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.