Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2018-07-31 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Ryan O'Hearn
RF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 220 lb · Age 33
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 494 | 60 | 117 | 15 | 3 | .264 | .334 | .427 | .761 |
| 2025 | 544 | 67 | 133 | 17 | 3 | .281 | .366 | .437 | .803 |
| 2026 | 451 | 58 | 108 | 18 | 1 | .265 | .330 | .440 | .770 |
| 9 Seasons | 2928 | 332 | 668 | 102 | 12 | .254 | .323 | .424 | .747 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
61
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.345 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.314 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.324 |
| Observed weight | 68% |
xwOBA
0.302
0.312
0.324
0.335
0.345
wOBA
0.319
0.333
0.347
0.362
0.376
ISO
0.146
0.158
0.171
0.184
0.195
K%
19.4%
20.4%
21.5%
22.6%
23.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
53
Exit velocity89.2
66
Hard-hit%42.3%
69
xBA0.326
59
xSLG0.523
57
xwOBA0.314
62
-24 vs proj
BB%7.8%
41
Bat speed68.9
40
K%21.8%
57
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.2 · 1B
4
Arm Strength84.8 · 1B
28
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 1B
73
Range Runs-2.8 · 1B
25
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · RF
33
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.8% · rebadged research
52
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.4% · rebadged research
15
Correct Decisions63.6% · rebadged research
24
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
37
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.255 · insufficient sample
96
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
76
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
69
Resists FastballwOBA 0.404 · validated
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
10
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
197 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.027 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.007 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
O'Hearn’s wOBA sits at 0.347, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.314 — a gap of 0.034, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 472 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R | 0.82 | Bat speedChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L | 0.80 | Bat speedIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Bailey, Patrick CLE · L | 0.79 | Chase rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R | 0.76 | Oppo rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-07-26 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 6 | 2026-09-23 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.313 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.341 xwOBA | 17 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | K, R, SB |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-13 vs WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, 3 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-12 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | K |