The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Cortes, Carlos in signal, the comp in amber.
ATH · bats L · 390 PA
Ranked comps for Cortes, Carlos
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA | 0.82 | Bat speedGround-ball rateHard-hit rate | In-zone contact +1.1zOppo rate -0.9zSprint speed +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA | 0.75 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3zMax exit velocity -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 400 PA | 0.74 | Whiff rateGround-ball rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.2zIn-zone contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 649 PA | 0.72 | Barrel rateIsolated powerWalk rate | Pull rate -1.2zIn-zone contact +1.2zWhiff rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Freeman, Freddie LAD · L · 675 PA | 0.71 | Whiff rateMax exit velocityBat speed | xwOBA on contact +1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.3zWalk rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA | 0.70 | Walk rateBat speedSweet-spot rate | Fly-ball rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact +0.9zMax exit velocity -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bailey, Patrick CLE · L · 356 PA | 0.70 | Walk rateIn-zone contactSweet-spot rate | Strikeout rate +1.5zxwOBA on contact +1.2zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA | 0.70 | Walk rateWhiff rateIn-zone contact | Sprint speed +1.4zSwing length +1.0zBat speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 402 PA | 0.69 | Barrel rateBat speedxwOBA on contact | Oppo rate -1.5zSwing length +1.2zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 492 PA | 0.69 | Oppo rateSwing lengthBat speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zWalk rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 721 PA | 0.67 | Sprint speedIsolated powerBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zSwing length +1.5zWalk rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA | 0.66 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Oppo rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.3zSwing length +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.