The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lile, Daylen in signal, the comp in amber.

WSH · bats L · 680 PA

Ranked comps for Lile, Daylen

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Schmitt, Casey SF · R · 424 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateSwing lengthOppo rate Sprint speed -1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0zWalk rate -1.0z
02 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 380 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateSwing length Fly-ball rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.5zBarrel rate -0.9z
03 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA 0.61 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.6zOppo rate -1.1z
04 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 683 PA 0.60 Isolated powerSwing lengthWalk rate Fly-ball rate -1.5zHard-hit rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.2z
05 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 597 PA 0.60 Strikeout rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Fly-ball rate -2.2zPull rate -1.2zChase rate -1.1z
06 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 696 PA 0.60 Whiff rateGround-ball rateStrikeout rate Walk rate +1.5zChase rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.2z
07 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 587 PA 0.59 Walk rateAvg exit velocityPull rate Fly-ball rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.0z
08 Tovar, Ezequiel COL · R · 526 PA 0.59 Oppo rateSwing lengthBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.2zPull rate -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z
09 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA 0.56 Barrel rateBat speedChase rate Fly-ball rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.2zIsolated power +1.1z
10 Beavers, Dylan BAL · L · 368 PA 0.55 Hard-hit rateBat speedOppo rate Chase rate -2.4zStrikeout rate +1.4zWalk rate +1.2z
11 McLain, Matt CIN · R · 518 PA 0.55 Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.9zSwing length -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.4z
12 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA 0.55 Sweet-spot rateBat speedWhiff rate Chase rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.