The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lile, Daylen in signal, the comp in amber.
WSH · bats L · 680 PA
Ranked comps for Lile, Daylen
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Schmitt, Casey SF · R · 424 PA | 0.69 | Strikeout rateSwing lengthOppo rate | Sprint speed -1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.0zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 380 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateSwing length | Fly-ball rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.5zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA | 0.61 | Avg exit velocityBarrel rateBat speed | Fly-ball rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.6zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 683 PA | 0.60 | Isolated powerSwing lengthWalk rate | Fly-ball rate -1.5zHard-hit rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 597 PA | 0.60 | Strikeout rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate -2.2zPull rate -1.2zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 696 PA | 0.60 | Whiff rateGround-ball rateStrikeout rate | Walk rate +1.5zChase rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 587 PA | 0.59 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityPull rate | Fly-ball rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Tovar, Ezequiel COL · R · 526 PA | 0.59 | Oppo rateSwing lengthBat speed | Fly-ball rate -1.2zPull rate -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA | 0.56 | Barrel rateBat speedChase rate | Fly-ball rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.2zIsolated power +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Beavers, Dylan BAL · L · 368 PA | 0.55 | Hard-hit rateBat speedOppo rate | Chase rate -2.4zStrikeout rate +1.4zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 518 PA | 0.55 | Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity | Chase rate -1.9zSwing length -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA | 0.55 | Sweet-spot rateBat speedWhiff rate | Chase rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.