The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pages, Andy in signal, the comp in amber.
LAD · bats R · 592 PA
Ranked comps for Pages, Andy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA | 0.74 | Hard-hit rateBarrel rateChase rate | Swing length -1.1zSprint speed -1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA | 0.72 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityWhiff rate | Oppo rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.1zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA | 0.68 | Fly-ball rateWalk rateBat speed | Isolated power -1.3zPull rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA | 0.67 | Chase rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Ground-ball rate +1.1zSwing length -1.0zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 608 PA | 0.65 | Oppo rateAvg exit velocityWalk rate | Swing length -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 442 PA | 0.65 | Hard-hit rateWhiff rateWalk rate | Sprint speed -2.0zMax exit velocity +1.1zChase rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 583 PA | 0.65 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zPull rate +1.3zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Stott, Bryson PHI · L · 623 PA | 0.63 | Sprint speedIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate -1.4zPull rate +1.3zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA | 0.63 | Barrel rateWhiff rateBat speed | xwOBA on contact -1.3zOppo rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Turner, Trea PHI · R · 717 PA | 0.62 | Pull rateAvg exit velocityOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.2zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Sheets, Gavin SD · L · 436 PA | 0.62 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.7zSprint speed -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Contreras, William MIL · R · 653 PA | 0.61 | Pull rateWhiff rateFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.7zMax exit velocity +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.