The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Steer, Spencer in signal, the comp in amber.
CIN · bats R · 405 PA
Ranked comps for Steer, Spencer
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 597 PA | 0.72 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zChase rate +1.1zWalk rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 469 PA | 0.70 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.3zBarrel rate -1.2zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.69 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zBarrel rate -1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 415 PA | 0.69 | Chase rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Barrel rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 376 PA | 0.69 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact | Chase rate +1.6zBarrel rate -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.66 | Hard-hit ratePull rateChase rate | Isolated power +1.3zSprint speed -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Beavers, Dylan BAL · L · 368 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedSwing lengthFly-ball rate | Ground-ball rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.2zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA | 0.65 | Strikeout rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Pull rate -1.3zChase rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 671 PA | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactOppo rateStrikeout rate | Pull rate -1.6zHard-hit rate +1.0zFly-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 671 PA | 0.63 | Avg exit velocityOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 633 PA | 0.63 | Avg exit velocityBat speedMax exit velocity | Isolated power -1.4zPull rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 366 PA | 0.63 | Ground-ball rateBat speedxwOBA on contact | Pull rate -1.7zSwing length -0.9zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.