The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schmitt, Casey in signal, the comp in amber.
SF · bats R · 424 PA
Ranked comps for Schmitt, Casey
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA | 0.76 | Whiff rateBat speedIn-zone contact | Ground-ball rate +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0zOppo rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 676 PA | 0.69 | Strikeout rateSwing lengthOppo rate | Sprint speed +1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 683 PA | 0.69 | Swing lengthMax exit velocitySweet-spot rate | In-zone contact -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.1zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 692 PA | 0.59 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityPull rate | Walk rate +2.5zIn-zone contact -1.2zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 592 PA | 0.53 | In-zone contactStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Walk rate +1.8zBarrel rate -1.6zFly-ball rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 583 PA | 0.50 | Chase rateSprint speedOppo rate | Ground-ball rate +1.8zBarrel rate -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 477 PA | 0.48 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Max exit velocity +1.8zWalk rate +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 582 PA | 0.48 | Isolated powerxwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate +2.3zSweet-spot rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 442 PA | 0.45 | Swing lengthSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Walk rate +2.0zSprint speed -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 671 PA | 0.45 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityBat speed | Walk rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.6zIn-zone contact -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 376 PA | 0.44 | Bat speedChase rateSwing length | Barrel rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.6zPull rate +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 491 PA | 0.43 | Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate | Walk rate +2.5zChase rate -2.3zStrikeout rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.