Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Ty France

1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 215 lb · Age 32

Cards
38
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position 1B Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202453546112131.234.305.365.670
20254905011471.257.320.360.680
202650059130211.295.363.502.865
8 Seasons38094239061024.267.338.414.752
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
77
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
68
Defense3 metrics
61
Speed2 metrics
5
Plate skills10 metrics
33
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-27
xwOBA preseason0.319
xwOBA current pace0.328
xwOBA rolling p500.325
Observed weight70%
xwOBA
0.304 0.314 0.325 0.336 0.346
wOBA
0.367 0.380 0.394 0.409 0.422
ISO
0.170 0.181 0.193 0.206 0.217
K%
18.8% 19.8% 20.9% 21.9% 22.9%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-27
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
74 +23 vs proj
Exit velocity91.4
91
Hard-hit%46.9%
87 +26 vs proj
xBA0.332
68
xSLG0.564
70
xwOBA0.328
76
BB%7.1%
34
Bat speed70.1
57
K%21.2%
60
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength77.2 · 1B
1
Outs Above Avg7.0 · 1B
93
Range Runs5.8 · 1B
89
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-3.2 · 1B
7
Sprint Speed24.7 · 1B
3
SB Success Rate0.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-27
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.9% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.1% · rebadged research
81
Correct Decisions65.5% · rebadged research
43
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
38
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.317 · borderline
14
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
39
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.317 · validated thin sample
4
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.367 · validated
12
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.383 · validated
10
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA France, Ty · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.328 2026-09-13: 0.3352026-09-14: 0.3352026-09-18: 0.3332026-09-19: 0.3352026-09-20: 0.3352026-09-21: 0.3342026-09-22: 0.3342026-09-23: 0.3332026-09-24: 0.3322026-09-25: 0.3322026-09-26: 0.3292026-09-27: 0.328 2026-09-13 2026-09-27 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

210 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart France, Ty · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsPull 17%Center field third: 66% of plotted batted ballsCenter 66%Right field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsOppo 17% LF 334 CF 396 RF 322 2026-03-16 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 32.02026-03-16 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA 3.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · popup · EV 56.1 / LA 60.02026-03-17 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 105.6 / LA 28.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 56.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · popup · EV 80.1 / LA 64.02026-03-19 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 23.02026-03-20 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 45.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA 13.02026-03-20 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -11.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -9.02026-03-21 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 52.02026-03-21 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 9.02026-03-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA -20.02026-03-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.3 / LA 40.02026-03-27 · fielders choice out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA -29.02026-04-04 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 23.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA -5.02026-04-04 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 29.02026-04-04 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 71.1 / LA -23.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.9 / LA 50.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 5.02026-04-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.4 / LA -40.02026-04-09 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 81.2 / LA 13.02026-04-12 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 31.02026-04-12 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 7.02026-04-12 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 7.02026-04-14 · field out · ST · popup · EV 75.7 / LA 65.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA -20.02026-04-14 · double play · SI · line_drive · EV 81.0 / LA 7.02026-04-14 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 5.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball2026-04-15 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 89.5 / LA 21.02026-04-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.9 / LA -70.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 46.2 / LA -40.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 22.02026-04-17 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 71.6 / LA 21.02026-04-18 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA -13.02026-04-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -28.02026-04-23 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA -1.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.5 / LA 16.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 82.4 / LA 23.02026-04-25 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 32.02026-04-25 · fielders choice · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.0 / LA -20.02026-04-25 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 29.02026-04-27 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 22.02026-04-27 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -5.02026-04-27 · triple · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA -16.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -6.02026-04-28 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 3.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 30.02026-04-28 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 4.02026-04-29 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 18.02026-04-29 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 46.02026-04-29 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 50.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -10.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA -1.02026-05-01 · field out · ST · popup · EV 70.4 / LA 77.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 44.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.7 / LA 4.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 55.8 / LA 11.02026-05-03 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 76.0 / LA 46.02026-05-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.2 / LA 15.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.4 / LA -9.02026-05-06 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 81.3 / LA 31.02026-05-07 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -21.02026-05-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -8.02026-05-09 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -9.02026-05-09 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 109.6 / LA 23.02026-05-10 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 75.9 / LA 3.02026-05-10 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 21.02026-05-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 79.6 / LA 15.02026-05-17 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 9.02026-05-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 76.4 / LA 23.02026-05-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 85.0 / LA 17.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -19.02026-05-19 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 29.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -20.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 73.9 / LA 71.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -32.02026-05-24 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -5.02026-05-24 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 29.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · popup · EV 73.8 / LA 69.02026-05-25 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA 0.02026-05-25 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA -5.02026-05-31 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 13.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 29.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 79.8 / LA -30.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 49.8 / LA 4.02026-06-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 25.02026-06-05 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 104.3 / LA 13.02026-06-05 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 84.8 / LA 21.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 32.02026-06-07 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -12.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 29.02026-06-20 · field out · SL · popup · EV 88.9 / LA 76.02026-06-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 26.02026-06-20 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -2.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -16.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · popup · EV 84.9 / LA 66.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.4 / LA 58.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 9.02026-06-24 · sac fly · FC · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 18.02026-06-24 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 31.02026-06-24 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 22.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 57.7 / LA 16.02026-06-26 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 30.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 25.02026-06-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.9 / LA -9.02026-06-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 14.02026-07-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 10.02026-07-01 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 18.02026-07-31 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 26.02026-07-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 108.7 / LA 15.02026-07-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 83.9 / LA 18.02026-08-02 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 80.0 / LA 22.02026-08-02 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -25.02026-08-02 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 13.02026-08-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 40.02026-08-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 56.02026-08-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -8.02026-08-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 6.02026-08-05 · fielders choice · SI · ground_ball · EV 51.9 / LA -50.02026-08-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA -13.02026-08-05 · field out · SV · fly_ball · EV 75.8 / LA 37.02026-08-05 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 9.02026-08-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.1 / LA 39.02026-08-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -14.02026-08-11 · field out · FF · popup · EV 92.3 / LA 74.02026-08-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA -20.02026-08-11 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 9.02026-08-11 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -21.02026-08-14 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 24.02026-08-14 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 43.02026-08-14 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.1 / LA -16.02026-08-15 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -1.02026-08-16 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 66.2 / LA 11.02026-08-16 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA -19.02026-08-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 26.02026-08-16 · field out · ST · popup · EV 80.2 / LA 77.02026-08-17 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 44.02026-08-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 0.02026-08-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 75.5 / LA 27.02026-08-19 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 16.02026-08-19 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 77.6 / LA 30.02026-08-21 · sac fly · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 30.02026-08-21 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 30.02026-08-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 76.3 / LA 25.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 21.02026-08-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 67.3 / LA -9.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 50.02026-08-23 · field out · SL · popup · EV 84.4 / LA 72.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA -2.02026-08-24 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 8.02026-08-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.0 / LA 15.02026-08-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 29.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 84.3 / LA 23.02026-08-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 3.02026-08-26 · field out · SI · popup · EV 75.9 / LA 63.02026-08-29 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 26.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 27.02026-08-29 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 69.5 / LA 33.02026-08-30 · sac fly · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 31.02026-08-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 103.8 / LA 7.02026-08-30 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.5 / LA -3.02026-08-31 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 2.02026-08-31 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 80.5 / LA 26.02026-08-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -23.02026-08-31 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 75.1 / LA 27.02026-08-31 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 5.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 29.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.4 / LA 18.02026-09-01 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.1 / LA -19.02026-09-02 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 0.02026-09-02 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 9.02026-09-02 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 34.02026-09-04 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 14.02026-09-04 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA 0.02026-09-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA -7.02026-09-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 66.8 / LA 76.02026-09-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 28.02026-09-07 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA 5.02026-09-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -25.02026-09-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 47.02026-09-08 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 5.02026-09-08 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 79.4 / LA 17.02026-09-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 29.02026-09-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 27.02026-09-09 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 9.02026-09-09 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 105.2 / LA 10.02026-09-09 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA -4.02026-09-09 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 27.02026-09-17 · field out · FS · popup · EV 85.8 / LA 72.02026-09-17 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA 5.02026-09-17 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 19.02026-09-17 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 20.02026-09-18 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 106.3 / LA 37.02026-09-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 89.3 / LA 18.02026-09-18 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA -2.02026-09-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -4.02026-09-20 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 93.9 / LA 20.02026-09-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -7.02026-09-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 49.7 / LA 55.02026-09-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 54.8 / LA -45.02026-09-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.6 / LA -3.02026-09-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -27.02026-09-23 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 24.02026-09-26 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 63.2 / LA 12.02026-09-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 39.02026-09-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -1.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile France, Ty · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height5' 10"
Weight215 lb
Debut2019-04-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.014
wOBA Δ+0.080

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.5σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.394
xwOBA (deserved)0.328

France’s wOBA sits at 0.394, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.328 — a gap of 0.066, -2.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 518 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
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Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R 0.63 Bat speedMax exit velocity Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting82026-08-21Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Fielding302026-09-262 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.442
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 10 HRProjection
2026-08-15 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E0-2 | HBP, K
2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E1-3
2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, R
2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E1-4
2026-04-12 vs COL1 HR | 1 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E3-3 | HR, 2B, HBP