Mithrandir Metrics

STRIKEOUTS 2026-09-27 · saved artifact ROWS 16 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-27

Palantir 1972 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.011 14d error falling

Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building

Valinor 1468 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.009 14d stable

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Strikeouts board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	K proj	5+	6+	7+	Opp K%	Recent K%	Best line
01	MacKenzie GoreTEX	TEX vs MINneutral	P 65.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	65.6%Over prob · Palantir	44.1%no-vig	+0.99%	5.86count	65.6%ladder	51.0%ladder	37.3%ladder	23.2%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 114 avg 1 books
02	Andre PallanteSTL	STL vs MILneutral	P 39.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	60.9%Under prob · Palantir	40.7%no-vig	+10.90%	3.19count	22.9%ladder	12.2%ladder	6.0%ladder	22.1%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings -168 avg 1 books
03	Max ScherzerTOR	TOR vs CINneutral	P 25.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	74.7%Under prob · Palantir	57.2%no-vig	+10.35%	4.15count	39.6%ladder	25.3%ladder	14.9%ladder	23.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 120 avg 1 books
04	Sean ManaeaNYM	NYM vs WSHneutral	P 37.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	62.5%Under prob · Palantir	46.7%no-vig	+2.84%	4.95count	52.8%ladder	37.5%ladder	24.9%ladder	20.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -130 avg 1 books
05	Randy VásquezSD	SD vs AZneutral	P 42.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	57.2%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+11.71%	3.15count	22.3%ladder	11.7%ladder	5.7%ladder	20.6%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
06	Kyle FreelandCOL	COL vs CWSneutral	P 31.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	68.0%Under prob · Palantir	58.0%no-vig	+0.73%	3.71count	31.9%ladder	18.9%ladder	10.3%ladder	23.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 124 avg 1 books
07	Shota ImanagaCHC	CHC vs BOSneutral	P 44.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5	56.0%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+10.02%	5.11count	55.3%ladder	40.0%ladder	27.0%ladder	23.5%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
08	Logan GilbertSEA	SEA vs LAApitcher-friendly	P 49.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	50.5%Under prob · Palantir	41.1%no-vig	+0.51%	6.77count	75.5%ladder	62.7%ladder	49.5%ladder	25.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -166 avg 1 books
09	Michael SorokaAZ	AZ vs SDneutral	P 44.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5	55.2%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+8.80%	4.24count	41.2%ladder	26.6%ladder	16.0%ladder	19.1%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
10	Zack WheelerPHI	PHI vs TBneutral	P 63.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 5.5 3 of 5	63.8%Over prob · Palantir	56.3%no-vig	+0.64%	6.86count	76.3%ladder	63.8%ladder	50.6%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -148 avg 1 books
11	Jacob MisiorowskiMIL	MIL vs STLneutral	P 42.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 4 of 5	57.8%Under prob · Palantir	50.4%no-vig	+7.77%	6.22count	69.8%ladder	55.9%ladder	42.2%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -111 avg 1 books
12	Nick MartinezTB	TB vs PHIneutral	P 51.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	48.7%Under prob · Palantir	44.6%no-vig	+1.30%	3.82count	33.9%ladder	20.5%ladder	11.4%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -142 avg 1 books
13	Janson JunkMIA	MIA vs ATLpitcher-friendly	P 44.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5 1 of 3	55.9%Under prob · Palantir	53.3%no-vig	+5.91%	3.44count	27.2%ladder	15.3%ladder	7.9%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 102 avg 1 books
14	Yusei KikuchiLAA	LAA vs SEApitcher-friendly	P 55.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	45.0%Under prob · Palantir	42.8%no-vig	+10.33%	5.09count	55.0%ladder	39.7%ladder	26.7%ladder	25.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -154 avg 1 books
15	Shane BazBAL	BAL vs NYYneutral	P 40.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	60.0%Under prob · Palantir	58.0%no-vig	+10.02%	5.11count	55.3%ladder	40.0%ladder	27.0%ladder	22.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 124 avg 1 books
16	Dean KremerMIN	MIN vs TEXneutral	P 51.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	51.4%Over prob · Palantir	50.4%no-vig	+1.44%	4.86count	51.4%ladder	36.1%ladder	23.7%ladder	21.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -115 avg 1 books