Mithrandir Metrics
Game markets 2026-09-27 Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Game market · pilot

Totals and run lines.

Game-level run estimates beside the current market context.

Games
15
Method
Rolling
Date
2026-09-27
GAME LINES rolling context ROWS 15 MARKET GAP sanity-checked
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Projection stack

Rolling team talent · opponent · starter · bullpen · lineup status

daily cached
TEAM TALENT Bayesian rolling wins OPPONENT runs allowed context STARTER rolling ERA BULLPEN FIP LINEUP confirmed / pending
Game board
#GameHome team runsAway team runsModel totalMarket O/UGapRun lineRead
01
NYM @ WSHgame 822679
 4.27WSH 4.88NYM 9.1model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.6runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
02
BAL @ NYYgame 823490
 4.83NYY 4.51BAL 9.3model 7.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.8runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
03
CHC @ BOSgame 824705
 4.44BOS 4.56CHC 9.0model 7.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.5runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
04
HOU @ ATHgame 824948
 4.53ATH 4.86HOU 9.4model 9.5FanDuel raw total-runs market -0.1runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
05
LAD @ SFgame 823164
 4.28SF 4.67LAD 8.9model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.4runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
06
TB @ PHIgame 823408
 4.46PHI 4.08TB 8.5model 7.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.0runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
07
CIN @ TORgame 822761
 4.65TOR 4.71CIN 9.4model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.9runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
08
CLE @ KCgame 824055
 4.30KC 4.45CLE 8.8model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.3runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
09
PIT @ DETgame 824217
 4.44DET 4.15PIT 8.6model 7.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.1runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
10
AZ @ SDgame 823246
 4.35SD 4.42AZ 8.8model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.3runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
11
LAA @ SEAgame 823084
 4.67SEA 4.26LAA 8.9model 7.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.4runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
12
TEX @ MINgame 823650
 4.64MIN 4.85TEX 9.5model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.0runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
13
COL @ CWSgame 824542
 4.64CWS 4.24COL 8.9model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.4runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
14
ATL @ MIAgame 823814
 4.08MIA 4.70ATL 8.8model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.3runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
15
STL @ MILgame 823731
 4.50MIL 3.79STL 8.3model 7.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.8runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed