Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / PHI
J. T. Realmuto
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 212 lb · Age 35
Club PHI
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 413 | 50 | 101 | 14 | 2 | .266 | .322 | .429 | .751 |
| 2025 | 550 | 57 | 129 | 12 | 8 | .257 | .315 | .384 | .699 |
| 2026 | 467 | 52 | 85 | 11 | 3 | .205 | .283 | .331 | .614 |
| 13 Seasons | 6009 | 748 | 1451 | 191 | 107 | .266 | .324 | .438 | .762 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
58
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.325 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.317 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.319 |
| Observed weight | 69% |
xwOBA
0.297
0.308
0.319
0.331
0.341
wOBA
0.266
0.278
0.292
0.306
0.319
ISO
0.113
0.124
0.136
0.148
0.159
K%
20.5%
21.6%
22.7%
23.9%
24.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.7%
32
-35 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
69
Hard-hit%40.5%
60
xBA0.329
64
xSLG0.512
55
xwOBA0.317
67
BB%8.1%
45
+20 vs proj
Bat speed71.4
75
K%21.4%
60
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.2 · C
20
Catcher Throwing2.1 · C
85
Framing Runs-0.2 · C
49
Pop Time1.9 · C
98
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · C
62
Sprint Speed28.0 · C
65
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.8% · rebadged research
52
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.1% · rebadged research
62
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
54
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.333 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
40
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
73
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
38
Resists FastballwOBA 0.299 · validated
98
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.303 · validated
99
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
223 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.033 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Realmuto’s wOBA sits at 0.292, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.317 — a gap of 0.024, 0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 482 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L | 0.80 | Avg exit velocityChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R | 0.77 | Oppo rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Young, Cole SEA · L | 0.77 | Max exit velocitySprint speed | Player · Projection |
| O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L | 0.76 | Oppo rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8 | 2026-08-30 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 9 | 2026-09-19 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.218 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.326 xwOBA | 16 HR | Projection |