The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Yelich, Christian in signal, the comp in amber.
MIL · bats L · 518 PA
Ranked comps for Yelich, Christian
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 550 PA | 0.80 | Oppo ratePull rateBat speed | Swing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate +0.8zWhiff rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Herrera, Iván STL · R · 721 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedIsolated powerFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.6zWhiff rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 623 PA | 0.62 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedChase rate | Strikeout rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA | 0.60 | Pull rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Ground-ball rate -1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.3zWhiff rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | House, Brady WSH · R · 367 PA | 0.58 | Whiff rateBarrel rateSwing length | Chase rate +1.7zPull rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 631 PA | 0.55 | Swing lengthBarrel rateStrikeout rate | Chase rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Montgomery, Braden CWS · L · 361 PA | 0.54 | Whiff rateHard-hit rateOppo rate | Swing length -2.4zBarrel rate -1.3zBat speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA | 0.53 | Pull rateWalk rateChase rate | Ground-ball rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 691 PA | 0.52 | Hard-hit rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.9zIsolated power +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA | 0.52 | Isolated powerBat speedPull rate | Ground-ball rate -2.2zFly-ball rate +2.0zOppo rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA | 0.51 | Whiff rateOppo rateBarrel rate | Ground-ball rate -2.0zFly-ball rate +1.6zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA | 0.51 | Max exit velocityPull rateBat speed | Ground-ball rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.7zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.