The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Yelich, Christian in signal, the comp in amber.

MIL · bats L · 518 PA

Ranked comps for Yelich, Christian

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 550 PA 0.80 Oppo ratePull rateBat speed Swing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate +0.8zWhiff rate -0.7z
02 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 721 PA 0.62 Bat speedIsolated powerFly-ball rate In-zone contact +1.6zWhiff rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z
03 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 623 PA 0.62 Hard-hit rateSprint speedChase rate Strikeout rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.1z
04 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.60 Pull rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate -1.7zxwOBA on contact -1.3zWhiff rate -1.2z
05 House, Brady WSH · R · 367 PA 0.58 Whiff rateBarrel rateSwing length Chase rate +1.7zPull rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.1z
06 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 631 PA 0.55 Swing lengthBarrel rateStrikeout rate Chase rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.6zMax exit velocity +1.3z
07 Montgomery, Braden CWS · L · 361 PA 0.54 Whiff rateHard-hit rateOppo rate Swing length -2.4zBarrel rate -1.3zBat speed -1.2z
08 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.53 Pull rateWalk rateChase rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.4z
09 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 691 PA 0.52 Hard-hit rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact Sweet-spot rate +1.9zIsolated power +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.2z
10 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.52 Isolated powerBat speedPull rate Ground-ball rate -2.2zFly-ball rate +2.0zOppo rate -1.1z
11 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA 0.51 Whiff rateOppo rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate -2.0zFly-ball rate +1.6zChase rate +1.2z
12 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 478 PA 0.51 Max exit velocityPull rateBat speed Ground-ball rate -1.9zSweet-spot rate +1.7zFly-ball rate +1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.