Mithrandir Metrics
Player Chicago White Sox Refreshed Sep 28 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Chicago White Sox

Braden Montgomery

RF · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 2", 220 lb · Age 23

Cards
36
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Chicago White Sox Position RF Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026365477361.226.312.350.662
1 Seasons365477361.226.312.350.662
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
55
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
56
Defense4 metrics
62
Speed2 metrics
51
Plate skills10 metrics
70
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-28
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.0%
24
Exit velocity88.7
60
Hard-hit%41.0%
63
xBA0.328
60
xSLG0.503
52
xwOBA0.325
73
BB%10.4%
74
Bat speed67.5
26
K%19.7%
68
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs4.0 · RF
96
Arm Strength95.1 · RF
59
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs-0.3 · RF
42
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.3 · RF
24
Sprint Speed28.4 · RF
78
SB Success Rate33.3% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-28
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.4% · rebadged research
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.3% · rebadged research
94
Correct Decisions72.9% · rebadged research
96
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
69
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
39
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.243 · validated thin sample
99
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.310 · insufficient sample
85
Resists FastballwOBA 0.399 · validated
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
94
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Montgomery, Braden · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.302 0.325 2026-09-14: 0.3312026-09-18: 0.3252026-09-19: 0.3242026-09-20: 0.3242026-09-21: 0.3252026-09-22: 0.3252026-09-23: 0.3252026-09-24: 0.3252026-09-25: 0.3252026-09-26: 0.3252026-09-27: 0.3262026-09-28: 0.325 2026-09-14 2026-09-28 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

124 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Montgomery, Braden · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 330 CF 400 RF 335 2026-06-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.9 / LA 31.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 58.02026-06-20 · field out · FC · popup · EV 81.8 / LA 77.02026-06-20 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 66.3 / LA 7.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 60.02026-06-22 · double · ST · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 7.02026-06-22 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 96.5 / LA 14.02026-06-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 107.1 / LA -23.02026-06-24 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.1 / LA 27.02026-06-24 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.7 / LA 44.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.9 / LA 8.02026-06-26 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -3.02026-06-26 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 2.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 105.3 / LA 13.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 7.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA -11.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -26.02026-07-01 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 65.7 / LA -43.02026-07-01 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 20.02026-07-27 · field out · FC · popup · EV 98.9 / LA 69.02026-07-27 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 22.02026-07-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA -11.02026-07-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 68.3 / LA -35.02026-07-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 5.02026-07-31 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 47.02026-08-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 66.4 / LA -21.02026-08-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -37.02026-08-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA -49.02026-08-05 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 38.02026-08-07 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 29.02026-08-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.8 / LA 11.02026-08-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA -6.02026-08-08 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 37.02026-08-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 31.02026-08-11 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA -34.02026-08-14 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA -45.02026-08-14 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.7 / LA -5.02026-08-14 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.2 / LA 34.02026-08-14 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 1.02026-08-14 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 12.02026-08-15 · fielders choice out · FC · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -13.02026-08-15 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 97.5 / LA -8.02026-08-16 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 12.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 74.7 / LA -40.02026-08-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 36.02026-08-17 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 9.02026-08-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 91.8 / LA 14.02026-08-17 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 63.7 / LA -36.02026-08-19 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA -10.02026-08-19 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA -22.02026-08-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA 6.02026-08-19 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.7 / LA -3.02026-08-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 56.5 / LA 3.02026-08-22 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 57.02026-08-22 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 109.0 / LA 30.02026-08-23 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA -16.02026-08-23 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 1.02026-08-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA 3.02026-08-24 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 72.6 / LA 18.02026-08-26 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 85.2 / LA 19.02026-08-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 47.02026-08-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 26.02026-08-26 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.7 / LA -26.02026-08-26 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 79.7 / LA 46.02026-08-29 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 1.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 68.8 / LA -67.02026-08-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -12.02026-08-29 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA -3.02026-08-30 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA -11.02026-08-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 3.02026-08-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.7 / LA 8.02026-08-30 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 33.02026-08-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.5 / LA -10.02026-08-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.0 / LA -57.02026-08-31 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 83.8 / LA 24.02026-08-31 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 14.02026-08-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.7 / LA -42.02026-09-02 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 19.02026-09-02 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 10.02026-09-03 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -22.02026-09-03 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 15.02026-09-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 55.9 / LA -29.02026-09-04 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 23.02026-09-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.5 / LA 39.02026-09-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.1 / LA -44.02026-09-05 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 66.8 / LA -21.02026-09-05 · field out · CU · popup · EV 68.2 / LA 84.02026-09-06 · field out · ST · popup · EV 91.3 / LA 60.02026-09-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.2 / LA -61.02026-09-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA -6.02026-09-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 5.02026-09-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.4 / LA 44.02026-09-09 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 10.02026-09-10 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 90.2 / LA 20.02026-09-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 40.02026-09-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 67.7 / LA -48.02026-09-11 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 108.5 / LA 22.02026-09-11 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -28.02026-09-11 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 28.02026-09-11 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -24.02026-09-12 · fielders choice · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA -12.02026-09-12 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.2 / LA -10.02026-09-13 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 106.8 / LA -1.02026-09-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -18.02026-09-17 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -32.02026-09-18 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 94.4 / LA 19.02026-09-20 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 2.02026-09-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.0 / LA -1.02026-09-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.9 / LA 16.02026-09-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -15.02026-09-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA -43.02026-09-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 49.9 / LA -67.02026-09-22 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 12.02026-09-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 7.02026-09-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA -25.02026-09-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -32.02026-09-23 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 109.7 / LA 3.02026-09-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 70.2 / LA -70.02026-09-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -16.02026-09-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 58.7 / LA -53.02026-09-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 20.02026-09-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -33.02026-09-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 33.02026-09-27 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 90.6 / LA 16.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Montgomery, Braden · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 27%27%Zone contact: 84%84%Contact: 73%73%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height6' 2"
Weight220 lb
Debut2026-06-09
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.304
xwOBA (deserved)0.325

Montgomery’s wOBA sits at 0.304, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.325 — a gap of 0.021, 0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 365 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Rengifo, Luis MIL · L 0.55 Fly-ball ratePull rate Player · Projection
Yelich, Christian MIL · L 0.54 Whiff rateHard-hit rate Player · Projection
Meidroth, Chase CWS · R 0.53 Barrel rateSwing length Player · Projection
Bogaerts, Xander SD · R 0.52 Sweet-spot rateIsolated power Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-09-23Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding332026-09-236 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.126
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-08-15 @ DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K, RBI, R