Mithrandir Metrics
WSH National League East Refreshed Sep 27 06:00 AM ET
Club dossier / National League / National League East

Washington Nationals

69.4-92.6 with P10-P90 wins 60-79. 82.1 avg opponent projected wins.

Projected W
69.4-92.6
Live pace
76.5
Delta
+7.1
Record 76-85 Run diff 4 Generated 2026-09-27T11:48:30.615249+00:00
Rolling projection

Preseason / pace / Bayesian update

Preseason69.0
Current pace76.5
Rolling p5074.4
Observed weight73%
Rolling wins
65.9 69.9 74.4 79.0 83.0
MOVE +5.4 wins PACE ahead BULLPEN FIP 4.51
October path

Projection odds

Division0.2%
Playoffs2.1%
Pennant0.1%
World Series0.0%
Run environment

Team talent

wOBA0.249
Rotation FIP4.52
Bullpen FIP4.51
Run diff-103.4
Current roster

Lineup projection

Active-roster status 2026-09-27; positions prioritize the latest confirmed lineup from 2026-09-27.

SlotPlayerPAValue
CFord, Harry2090.19
1BChaparro, Andrés2500.42
2BAbrams, Cj5933.00
SSNuñez, Nasim2600.96
3BHouse, Brady339-0.52
LFLile, Daylen3783.14
CFYoung, Jacob447-0.53
RFCrews, Dylan3881.51
DHWood, James5929.29
Roster context

Not on the active roster

These players remain connected to the club but are excluded from the lineup and pitching staff.

PlayerGroupStatusLatest detail
Millas, DrewHitterIL-60Injured 60-Day
Parker, MitchellPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Waldichuk, KenPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Waldron, MattPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Ribalta, OrlandoPitcherIL-15Injured 15-Day
Poulin, PjPitcherIL-60Injured 60-Day
Pinckney, AndrewHitterOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Palmquist, CarsonPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Schultz, PaxtonPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Bird, JakePitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Nicolas, KylePitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Kent, ZakPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Beeter, ClaytonPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors
Yean, EddyPitcherOut / inactiveReassigned to Minors