Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / WSH · 2026
Ford, Harry
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team WSH
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 23
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
31
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.282 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.288 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.284 |
| Observed weight | 35% |
xwOBA
0.225
0.253
0.284
0.315
0.344
wOBA
0.262
0.289
0.318
0.347
0.373
ISO
0.066
0.097
0.130
0.164
0.194
K%
19.3%
23.7%
28.7%
33.6%
38.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
68
Exit velocity84.7
17
Hard-hit%33.8%
30
xBA0.259
7
xSLG0.454
33
xwOBA0.288
33
-29 vs proj
BB%13.7%
95
+61 vs proj
Bat speed66.4
16
K%23.9%
45
+28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.5 · C
12
Catcher Throwing-0.5 · C
41
Framing Runs-0.2 · C
47
Pop Time1.9 · C
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.2 · C
44
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 77.2% · rebadged research
97
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.4% · rebadged research
94
Correct Decisions75.2% · rebadged research
98
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.332 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
68
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
41
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
63
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
84
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.337 · validated
86
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline119
98
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
41 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.025 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| Sample | 117 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 209 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.313 | 0.130 to 0.302 | +/- 0.086 |
| ISO | 0.145 | 0.021 to 0.212 | +/- 0.095 |
| Barrel% | 5.4% | 0.5% to 6.6% | +/- 3.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.3% | 10.7% to 40.8% | +/- 15.1% |
| K% | 30.2% | 11.7% to 39.9% | +/- 14.1% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 0.9% to 11.6% | +/- 5.4% |
| BABIP | 0.307 | 0.163 to 0.351 | +/- 0.094 |
vs LHP
8 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.023 |
| K% | 2.9% |
| BB% | 1.6% |
| Barrel | 0.9% |
vs RHP
15 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.022 |
| K% | 3.0% |
| BB% | 1.4% |
| Barrel | 0.7% |