Run-prevention profile built on workable command
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| ERA preseason | 3.92 |
| ERA current pace | 3.71 |
| ERA rolling p50 | 3.83 |
| Observed weight | 42% |
100th = best in MLB.
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; Arsenal Decomposition remains descriptive support under Stuff+.
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SL | 50.4% | 225 | 107 | qualified |
| SI | 27.8% | 124 | 96 | limited sample |
| FB | 21.7% | 97 | 101 | limited sample |
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
| ERA Δ | -0.25 |
| K% Δ | -0.033 |
| Sample | 35.7 IP |
positive regression
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Innings | 31.6 | -- | -- |
| Batters Faced | 142 | -- | -- |
| K% | 21.5% | 14.0% to 28.5% | +/- 7.2% |
| BB% | 8.8% | 5.0% to 12.7% | +/- 3.8% |
| Whiff% | 21.7% | 16.9% to 29.2% | +/- 6.2% |
| HR/9 | 1.43 | 0.34 to 2.40 | +/- 1.03 |
| xwOBA Against | 0.312 | 0.238 to 0.354 | +/- 0.058 |
| Barrel% Allowed | 8.3% | 4.8% to 12.8% | +/- 4.0% |
| ERA | 3.96 | 1.86 to 7.27 | +/- 2.71 |
| FIP | 4.20 | 2.67 to 6.79 | +/- 2.06 |
| WHIP | 1.284 | 1.011 to 1.687 | +/- 0.338 |
| xwOBA | 0.257 |
| K% | 17.8% |
| BB% | 7.1% |
| Barrel | 6.3% |
| xwOBA | 0.286 |
| K% | 16.9% |
| BB% | 7.2% |
| Barrel | 10.0% |
