The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burger, Jake in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats R · 634 PA

Ranked comps for Burger, Jake

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 432 PA 0.74 Max exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.5zSweet-spot rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 415 PA 0.72 Strikeout rateIsolated powerSwing length Sprint speed -2.0zWhiff rate -0.7zSweet-spot rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 631 PA 0.72 Strikeout rateOppo rateSwing length Sprint speed +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.1zIsolated power -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 645 PA 0.70 Barrel rateBat speedSwing length Sweet-spot rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2zIsolated power -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 644 PA 0.70 Ground-ball rateIsolated powerFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.1zWhiff rate -1.0zIn-zone contact +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 684 PA 0.69 Swing lengthIn-zone contactBat speed Sprint speed +1.7zWhiff rate -1.2zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateOppo rateMax exit velocity Avg exit velocity -1.2zBarrel rate -1.1zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 411 PA 0.67 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactOppo rate Avg exit velocity -1.1zIsolated power -1.0zBarrel rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Smith, Cam HOU · R · 577 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed +1.4zOppo rate +1.3zPull rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 671 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateChase rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.0zGround-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
11 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 381 PA 0.66 Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityPull rate Chase rate -1.1zSprint speed -1.1zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA 0.65 Barrel rateSprint speedFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zxwOBA on contact +1.2zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.