Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / NYY
Cody Bellinger
Player · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 204 lb · Age 31
Club NYY
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 569 | 72 | 137 | 18 | 9 | .266 | .325 | .426 | .751 |
| 2025 | 656 | 89 | 160 | 29 | 13 | .272 | .334 | .480 | .814 |
| 2026 | 562 | 73 | 131 | 17 | 12 | .264 | .338 | .429 | .767 |
| 10 Seasons | 5327 | 763 | 1233 | 242 | 116 | .261 | .334 | .478 | .812 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
60
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.313 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.335 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.329 |
| Observed weight | 72% |
xwOBA
0.308
0.318
0.329
0.340
0.350
wOBA
0.322
0.334
0.347
0.360
0.372
ISO
0.141
0.152
0.164
0.176
0.187
K%
13.7%
14.5%
15.5%
16.5%
17.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
48
Exit velocity89.2
67
Hard-hit%37.6%
47
+17 vs proj
xBA0.331
66
xSLG0.502
51
xwOBA0.335
83
+21 vs proj
BB%10.2%
71
+26 vs proj
Bat speed68.4
33
K%15.7%
87
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.9 · LF
92
Arm Strength99.7 · LF
90
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
50
Range Runs5.3 · LF
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.0 · LF
28
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
4
Sprint Speed27.3 · LF
47
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.4% · rebadged research
65
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.2% · rebadged research
48
Correct Decisions67.7% · rebadged research
66
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
27
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.340 · borderline
2
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.304 · insufficient sample
8
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.249 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
24
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.379 · validated
13
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
288 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.022 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.033 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Bellinger’s wOBA sits at 0.347, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.335 — a gap of 0.012, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 578 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Semien, Marcus NYM · R | 0.76 | Barrel rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L | 0.72 | Isolated powerChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L | 0.71 | xwOBA on contactWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Tucker, Kyle LAD · L | 0.70 | Barrel rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 13 | 2026-09-10 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 14 | 2026-09-24 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.548 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 26 HR | Projection |