The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Muncy, Max in signal, the comp in amber.

LAD · bats L · 574 PA

Ranked comps for Muncy, Max

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.76 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateOppo rate Chase rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.2zWalk rate -0.7z
02 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 652 PA 0.72 Fly-ball rateOppo rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.3zPull rate -0.9zIsolated power -0.8z
03 Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 549 PA 0.71 Oppo rateIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Ground-ball rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2zBarrel rate -0.8z
04 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.69 Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateChase rate Swing length +1.9zPull rate -0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.8z
05 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA 0.67 In-zone contactWhiff rateHard-hit rate Oppo rate +1.6zPull rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2z
06 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 647 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactBarrel rate Swing length +2.4zIn-zone contact -0.8zWalk rate -0.7z
07 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 510 PA 0.62 Strikeout ratexwOBA on contactBarrel rate Swing length +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.1z
08 Seager, Corey TEX · L · 450 PA 0.61 Bat speedxwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Sprint speed -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.0zIsolated power -1.0z
09 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.60 Barrel rateIsolated powerIn-zone contact Bat speed +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4zWalk rate -1.1z
10 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.60 Walk rateChase rateSprint speed Whiff rate -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.7zStrikeout rate -1.1z
11 Greene, Riley DET · L · 611 PA 0.59 Avg exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate Pull rate -1.9zBat speed +1.5zOppo rate +1.3z
12 Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 517 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Hard-hit rate +1.4zChase rate +1.3zBat speed +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.