Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / DET
Riley Greene
Player · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 200 lb · Age 26
Club DET
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 584 | 82 | 134 | 24 | 4 | .262 | .348 | .479 | .827 |
| 2025 | 655 | 84 | 155 | 36 | 2 | .258 | .313 | .493 | .806 |
| 2026 | 592 | 79 | 143 | 21 | 3 | .280 | .370 | .474 | .844 |
| 5 Seasons | 2665 | 342 | 636 | 97 | 17 | .268 | .340 | .458 | .798 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
91
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.352 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.371 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.366 |
| Observed weight | 74% |
xwOBA
0.345
0.355
0.366
0.377
0.388
wOBA
0.366
0.378
0.391
0.404
0.416
ISO
0.182
0.193
0.205
0.218
0.229
K%
24.2%
25.2%
26.3%
27.4%
28.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.0%
95
Exit velocity90.0
78
Hard-hit%46.5%
86
xBA0.378
96
xSLG0.719
96
xwOBA0.371
97
BB%11.6%
86
+33 vs proj
Bat speed74.1
95
K%26.2%
32
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.5 · LF
8
Arm Strength87.0 · LF
6
Outs Above Avg-4.0 · LF
6
Range Runs-3.9 · LF
15
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.7 · LF
20
Sprint Speed26.6 · LF
28
SB Success Rate66.7% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.4% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.6% · rebadged research
88
Correct Decisions70.2% · rebadged research
88
Resists FastballwOBA 0.359 · validated
18
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
91
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.342 · borderline
2
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
33
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
65
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
23
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.433 · validated
0
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
251 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.035 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Greene’s wOBA sits at 0.391, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.371 — a gap of 0.020, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 611 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eldridge, Bryce SF · L | 0.78 | Oppo rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L | 0.69 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Baty, Brett NYM · L | 0.65 | Whiff rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Rice, Ben NYY · L | 0.65 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 12 | 2026-09-11 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 15 | 2026-09-26 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.104 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.356 xwOBA | 27 HR | Projection |