The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, J.P. in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats L · 489 PA
Ranked comps for Crawford, J.P.
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA | 0.76 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power | Walk rate -1.3zChase rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 470 PA | 0.71 | Barrel rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Ground-ball rate -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 410 PA | 0.68 | Barrel rateOppo rateIn-zone contact | Walk rate -1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 400 PA | 0.66 | xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateBat speed | Walk rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Palacios, Richie TB · L · 409 PA | 0.64 | Isolated powerSwing lengthSprint speed | Chase rate +2.2zGround-ball rate -0.9zBat speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Wetherholt, JJ STL · L · 633 PA | 0.64 | Isolated powerChase rateBat speed | Fly-ball rate +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 354 PA | 0.62 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Walk rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Martin, Austin MIN · R · 372 PA | 0.61 | Ground-ball rateWalk rateFly-ball rate | Swing length -1.7zSprint speed +1.2zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 532 PA | 0.61 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactPull rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 392 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedSprint speedFly-ball rate | Walk rate -1.8zChase rate +1.5zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 646 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedOppo rateSwing length | Fly-ball rate +2.3zGround-ball rate -1.8zChase rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Springer, George TOR · R · 536 PA | 0.59 | Pull ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Max exit velocity +1.4zWalk rate -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.