Mithrandir Metrics
Player Minnesota Twins Refreshed Sep 29 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Minnesota Twins

Víctor Caratini

C · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 0", 225 lb · Age 33

Cards
10
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Minnesota Twins Position C Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024274306680.269.336.408.744
20253863589121.259.324.404.728
2026382287270.220.312.315.627
10 Seasons2615243554655.241.320.363.683
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
46
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
48
Defense6 metrics
58
Speed1 metrics
2
Plate skills10 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-29
xwOBA preseason0.319
xwOBA current pace0.306
xwOBA rolling p500.310
Observed weight65%
xwOBA
0.288 0.299 0.310 0.322 0.333
wOBA
0.275 0.289 0.304 0.320 0.334
ISO
0.111 0.121 0.132 0.143 0.154
K%
18.1% 19.2% 20.4% 21.7% 22.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-29
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.5%
44
Exit velocity89.1
65
Hard-hit%37.9%
49
xBA0.296
25
xSLG0.471
41
xwOBA0.306
53
BB%8.8%
54 +21 vs proj
Bat speed69.2
43
K%21.5%
59
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.9 · C
77
Catcher Throwing-3.9 · C
2
Framing Runs2.6 · C
76
Outs Above Avg1.0 · C
95
Pop Time2.0 · C
4
Range Runs0.4 · C
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.4 · C
2
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-29
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.7% · rebadged research
72
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.6% · rebadged research
14
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
39
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline
19
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
51
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.251 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.359 · insufficient sample
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.306 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.296 · validated
99
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Caratini, Victor · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.301 0.306 2026-09-18: 0.3132026-09-19: 0.3132026-09-20: 0.3132026-09-21: 0.3092026-09-22: 0.3092026-09-23: 0.3072026-09-24: 0.3072026-09-25: 0.3072026-09-26: 0.3072026-09-27: 0.3062026-09-28: 0.3062026-09-29: 0.306 2026-09-18 2026-09-29 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

167 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Caratini, Victor · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 68% of plotted batted ballsCenter 68%Right field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsOppo 17% LF 339 CF 403 RF 328 2026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.8 / LA -6.02026-03-16 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 28.02026-03-16 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 79.4 / LA 33.02026-03-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.5 / LA 6.02026-03-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 45.4 / LA 13.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -13.02026-03-23 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 4.02026-03-24 · single · FC · popup · EV 94.0 / LA 67.02026-03-24 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 31.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 23.02026-03-26 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 3.02026-03-26 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -5.02026-03-29 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 12.02026-03-29 · double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 57.4 / LA -3.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 28.02026-03-29 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 75.0 / LA 19.02026-03-29 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 5.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 74.9 / LA 36.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -13.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 31.02026-04-01 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 69.6 / LA 11.02026-04-01 · field out · FC · popup · EV 69.1 / LA 41.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 27.02026-04-02 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 90.9 / LA 15.02026-04-02 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.8 / LA -2.02026-04-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 6.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -5.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 10.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 23.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 67.3 / LA 66.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA -2.02026-04-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 81.6 / LA 17.02026-04-06 · field error · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 33.02026-04-06 · sac fly · SL · line_drive · EV 99.7 / LA 21.02026-04-07 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 82.5 / LA 17.02026-04-07 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 6.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -19.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 44.9 / LA 32.02026-04-08 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 16.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.0 / LA -1.02026-04-09 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 78.2 / LA 29.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.4 / LA -34.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 36.02026-04-09 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 8.02026-04-10 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.3 / LA -31.02026-04-11 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 74.2 / LA 12.02026-04-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 3.02026-04-12 · sac fly · CH · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 20.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.4 / LA -3.02026-04-12 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 93.8 / LA 11.02026-04-13 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 32.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA -4.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.1 / LA 38.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -6.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 64.6 / LA -9.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 22.02026-04-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 15.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 74.5 / LA -33.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -13.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 38.02026-04-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 36.02026-04-19 · sac fly · SI · line_drive · EV 96.8 / LA 17.02026-04-19 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 79.5 / LA 9.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 36.02026-04-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.1 / LA -17.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 45.02026-04-22 · sac fly · CU · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 14.02026-04-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -13.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.5 / LA -4.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.3 / LA -52.02026-04-25 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA -18.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 75.6 / LA 13.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 29.02026-04-28 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 75.2 / LA -30.02026-04-29 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 93.4 / LA -3.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 52.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 65.8 / LA -68.02026-05-03 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 3.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 15.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -14.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -6.02026-05-08 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 16.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 23.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA -1.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.6 / LA 18.02026-05-10 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 99.5 / LA 29.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 21.02026-05-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 93.3 / LA 17.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 53.02026-05-14 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA 9.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 3.02026-05-14 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.2 / LA -10.02026-05-17 · sac fly · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 50.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.3 / LA 54.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 66.5 / LA 16.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 18.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 70.9 / LA 7.02026-05-20 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA -3.02026-05-20 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 30.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 7.02026-05-23 · sac fly · CH · fly_ball · EV 81.4 / LA 37.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.4 / LA 4.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 62.7 / LA 14.02026-05-24 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA -3.02026-05-25 · field out · FS · popup · EV 87.4 / LA 65.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 4.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 27.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 63.4 / LA -46.02026-06-01 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 12.02026-06-01 · fielders choice out · CU · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA -6.02026-06-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 9.02026-06-04 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 25.02026-06-04 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 75.3 / LA 53.02026-06-04 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.9 / LA 23.02026-06-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -9.02026-06-18 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 84.1 / LA 22.02026-06-18 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -5.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 93.2 / LA 72.02026-06-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 79.4 / LA 21.02026-06-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA -6.02026-06-20 · double · KC · line_drive · EV 100.6 / LA 21.02026-06-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 5.02026-06-22 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 1.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.7 / LA 68.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 30.02026-06-24 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 96.4 / LA 16.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 60.02026-06-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 11.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.9 / LA -4.02026-06-26 · field out · FS · popup · EV 70.5 / LA 68.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 47.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -32.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA -13.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.9 / LA -6.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.9 / LA 23.02026-07-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 62.2 / LA 21.02026-08-05 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 0.02026-08-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 44.02026-08-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 72.7 / LA -7.02026-08-07 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 18.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 22.02026-08-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -24.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 74.6 / LA -43.02026-08-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 43.02026-08-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 12.02026-08-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 63.2 / LA 74.02026-08-23 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.5 / LA -9.02026-08-23 · field out · SI · popup · EV 65.4 / LA 59.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · popup · EV 94.5 / LA 72.02026-08-29 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.9 / LA -11.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 42.02026-08-29 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 22.02026-09-09 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA 7.02026-09-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -16.02026-09-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 3.02026-09-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.5 / LA 22.02026-09-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 94.7 / LA -16.02026-09-13 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.8 / LA 52.02026-09-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.8 / LA 9.02026-09-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 65.7 / LA -28.02026-09-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -21.02026-09-20 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -15.02026-09-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 75.1 / LA 40.02026-09-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 78.5 / LA 34.02026-09-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 41.02026-09-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.2 / LA -37.02026-09-26 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 89.4 / LA 17.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Caratini, Victor · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 22%22%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 78%78%Hard hit: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Caratini, Victor · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 70.5 mph Hard swing rate 8% Whiff / swing 15% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age33
Height6' 0"
Weight225 lb
Debut2017-06-28
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.004
wOBA Δ-0.006

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.0σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.304
xwOBA (deserved)0.306

Caratini’s wOBA sits at 0.304, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.306 — a gap of 0.001, 0.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 400 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Cortes, Carlos ATH · L 0.74 Fly-ball rateSwing length Player · Projection
Kelly, Carson CHC · R 0.73 Bat speedGround-ball rate Player · Projection
Bailey, Patrick CLE · L 0.72 Avg exit velocityBarrel rate Player · Projection
Crawford, J.P. SEA · L 0.66 xwOBA on contactFly-ball rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-06-29Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding72026-09-141 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.310 xwOBA | 13 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs HOU1 HR | 1 RBI / 15 Ch | 0 E2-4 | HR, K, RBI
2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HBP
2026-04-14 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E0-3 | HBP, K
2026-04-13 vs BOS1 HR | 3 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-2 | HR, 2 BB, 3 RBI