The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Palacios, Richie in signal, the comp in amber.

TB · bats L · 405 PA

Ranked comps for Palacios, Richie

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Rocchio, Brayan CLE · L · 606 PA 0.70 In-zone contactIsolated powerChase rate Walk rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.0zFly-ball rate +0.9z
02 Altuve, Jose HOU · R · 583 PA 0.69 Barrel rateIn-zone contactIsolated power Walk rate -1.6zPull rate +1.0zSwing length +0.9z
03 Durbin, Caleb BOS · R · 607 PA 0.68 Bat speedIsolated powerFly-ball rate Avg exit velocity -1.3zWalk rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z
04 Schanuel, Nolan LAA · L · 463 PA 0.67 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.2zIn-zone contact +1.1zChase rate -1.0z
05 Heim, Jonah ATH · L · 402 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactOppo rateStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1z
06 Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 486 PA 0.66 Isolated powerSwing lengthSweet-spot rate Chase rate -2.1zGround-ball rate +0.9zBat speed +0.8z
07 Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 466 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact Fly-ball rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.4zOppo rate +1.3z
08 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 441 PA 0.65 Whiff rateStrikeout rateIsolated power Pull rate -1.4zChase rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.0z
09 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 667 PA 0.64 In-zone contactBarrel ratePull rate Swing length -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2z
10 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA 0.64 Swing lengthChase rateIsolated power Walk rate -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.1zPull rate -0.9z
11 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 407 PA 0.63 Strikeout rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate Max exit velocity +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zChase rate -1.2z
12 Fermín, José STL · R · 385 PA 0.61 Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.6zWalk rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.3z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.