The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Merrill, Jackson in signal, the comp in amber.
SD · bats L · 683 PA
Ranked comps for Merrill, Jackson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Schmitt, Casey SF · R · 424 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthMax exit velocitySweet-spot rate | In-zone contact +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 649 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateSwing lengthFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.2zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 480 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactStrikeout rate | Max exit velocity +1.7zChase rate -0.8zBat speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA | 0.67 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zIsolated power +1.1zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedStrikeout rateMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zxwOBA on contact -1.1zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 627 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateSwing length | In-zone contact +1.5zSprint speed -1.3zWhiff rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 586 PA | 0.63 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateSprint speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zPull rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 696 PA | 0.63 | Barrel rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.5zChase rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 511 PA | 0.63 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity | Pull rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 587 PA | 0.62 | Pull rateWalk rateOppo rate | Barrel rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 485 PA | 0.60 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactSwing length | Barrel rate -1.5zHard-hit rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 680 PA | 0.60 | Isolated powerSwing lengthWalk rate | Fly-ball rate +1.5zHard-hit rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.