The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Carroll, Corbin in signal, the comp in amber.
AZ · bats L · 687 PA
Ranked comps for Carroll, Corbin
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 514 PA | 0.70 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rateWalk rate | Oppo rate -1.3zSprint speed -1.1zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA | 0.69 | Swing lengthIn-zone contactFly-ball rate | Sprint speed -1.8zWhiff rate +1.2zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA | 0.65 | xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate +1.1zChase rate +1.1zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 489 PA | 0.62 | Oppo rateChase rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed -1.9zIn-zone contact +1.1zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Gelof, Zack ATH · R · 447 PA | 0.61 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Max exit velocity -1.4zWalk rate -1.3zAvg exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA | 0.60 | Chase rateStrikeout ratePull rate | In-zone contact +1.5zBarrel rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 552 PA | 0.60 | Walk rateBarrel rateBat speed | Sprint speed -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA | 0.59 | Swing lengthIsolated powerWalk rate | Sprint speed -2.0zIn-zone contact +1.8zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Buxton, Byron MIN · R · 418 PA | 0.59 | Sprint speedPull rateHard-hit rate | Barrel rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 622 PA | 0.57 | xwOBA on contactWalk rateAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate +1.9zSprint speed -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Smith, Cam HOU · R · 582 PA | 0.57 | xwOBA on contactChase rateIn-zone contact | Pull rate -1.7zOppo rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 657 PA | 0.56 | Ground-ball ratePull rateIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.6zBat speed -1.3zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.