The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Buxton, Byron in signal, the comp in amber.
MIN · bats R · 418 PA
Ranked comps for Buxton, Byron
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 671 PA | 0.63 | Strikeout ratePull rateIn-zone contact | Barrel rate -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.0zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 733 PA | 0.60 | Chase rateBat speedIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Carroll, Corbin AZ · L · 684 PA | 0.59 | Sprint speedPull rateHard-hit rate | Ground-ball rate +1.3zBarrel rate -1.3zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA | 0.56 | In-zone contactHard-hit rateOppo rate | Max exit velocity +1.7zSwing length -1.6zSprint speed -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 647 PA | 0.54 | Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactSwing length | Sprint speed -2.5zBarrel rate -1.3zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 595 PA | 0.53 | Fly-ball rateSweet-spot ratePull rate | Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.6zSwing length -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 550 PA | 0.52 | Whiff rateChase rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.8zMax exit velocity +1.5zBarrel rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 510 PA | 0.51 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateBat speed | Chase rate -1.7zBarrel rate -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 597 PA | 0.50 | Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Swing length -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.4zBarrel rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 683 PA | 0.50 | Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityIn-zone contact | Isolated power -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.8zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA | 0.49 | Chase ratexwOBA on contactFly-ball rate | Swing length -2.2zSprint speed -2.0zBarrel rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Moniak, Mickey COL · L · 451 PA | 0.49 | In-zone contactBat speedGround-ball rate | Barrel rate -2.1zChase rate +1.8zxwOBA on contact -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.