The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (338+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Tovar, Ezequiel in signal, the comp in amber.

COL · bats R · 526 PA

Ranked comps for Tovar, Ezequiel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 361 PA 0.69 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity In-zone contact -2.0zChase rate -1.3zStrikeout rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 598 PA 0.66 Hard-hit ratePull rateSweet-spot rate Oppo rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA 0.66 Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.3zWhiff rate -1.2zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 722 PA 0.60 Bat speedWhiff rateIsolated power Chase rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.4zFly-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 680 PA 0.59 Oppo rateSwing lengthBat speed Fly-ball rate +1.2zPull rate +1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 612 PA 0.58 Bat speedxwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.5zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 587 PA 0.57 Sprint speedWalk rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate +1.8zChase rate -1.3zPull rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.57 Sprint speedBarrel rateFly-ball rate Pull rate +1.8zMax exit velocity +1.6zChase rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Carrigg, Cole COL · L · 380 PA 0.55 Swing lengthGround-ball rateBarrel rate Pull rate +2.0zOppo rate -1.5zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 485 PA 0.54 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateIn-zone contact Pull rate +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA 0.54 Pull rateStrikeout rateIsolated power Chase rate -1.9zAvg exit velocity +1.5zHard-hit rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 395 PA 0.54 Bat speedSweet-spot ratePull rate Chase rate -2.0zSprint speed -2.0zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.