The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 255 qualified hitters (336+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Rafaela, Ceddanne in signal, the comp in amber.

BOS · bats R · 596 PA

Ranked comps for Rafaela, Ceddanne

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Church, Nathan STL · L · 483 PA 0.77 Barrel rateGround-ball rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate -1.0zIsolated power -0.9zAvg exit velocity -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 608 PA 0.69 Sprint speedIsolated powerSweet-spot rate Chase rate -1.5zWalk rate +1.2zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Tovar, Ezequiel COL · R · 523 PA 0.65 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot ratePull rate Oppo rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.3zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Turner, Trea PHI · R · 717 PA 0.61 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Chase rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.2zOppo rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 516 PA 0.58 Whiff rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate Oppo rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.4zPull rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 McCarthy, Jake COL · L · 616 PA 0.51 Barrel rateMax exit velocityBat speed Oppo rate -2.6zAvg exit velocity -1.2zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Peraza, Oswald LAA · R · 383 PA 0.51 Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactPull rate Strikeout rate +1.5zOppo rate -1.5zIsolated power -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 622 PA 0.51 Avg exit velocityPull rateMax exit velocity Chase rate -2.2zIsolated power -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 470 PA 0.51 Max exit velocitySwing lengthxwOBA on contact Chase rate -2.2zOppo rate -2.2zSprint speed -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Dubón, Mauricio ATL · R · 634 PA 0.50 Avg exit velocityBat speedFly-ball rate Sprint speed -1.6zWhiff rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Young, Jacob WSH · R · 484 PA 0.50 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate -2.9zOppo rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Martínez, Angel CLE · L · 430 PA 0.48 Avg exit velocitySweet-spot rateFly-ball rate Oppo rate -2.7zPull rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.